The U.S. stocks set to benefit most from China’s ‘bazooka’ stimulus, according to Barclays

Oct 1, 2024 at 6:07 PM

China's Stimulus Windfall: Opportunities for Savvy Investors

As China unveils a major stimulus package to revive its struggling economy, savvy investors are eyeing potential opportunities in the U.S. stock market. Barclays, a leading financial institution, has identified several stocks that could benefit from the ripple effects of China's economic revival, offering a glimpse into the potential windfall for investors.

Unlocking the Potential of China's Economic Resurgence

Tapping into China's Growth Potential

The Chinese government's recent announcement of a comprehensive stimulus plan has sent shockwaves through the global financial markets. This bold move aims to revitalize the world's second-largest economy, which has been grappling with a slowdown in growth and a troubled real estate sector. Barclays' equities derivatives strategist, Stefano Pascale, believes that while a "China bazooka stimulus" may not be the firm's base case, it could have far-reaching implications for global assets, including U.S. stocks with significant ties to the Chinese market.

Identifying the Potential Winners

Barclays has screened for companies with high sales exposure to China and low volatility, highlighting several stocks that could emerge as potential beneficiaries of China's stimulus efforts. Among the standouts are Wynn Resorts, Qualcomm, Albemarle, Merck, and Western Digital.

Wynn Resorts: Capitalizing on China's Gambling Boom

Wynn Resorts, a leading casino and resort operator, stands out as one of the potential winners, with 48% of its sales exposure to China. The company's strong presence in the Chinese gambling hub of Macau positions it to capitalize on the anticipated surge in tourism and consumer spending as a result of the stimulus measures. Shares of Wynn Resorts have already risen nearly 8% in 2024, and the consensus rating on the stock is a buy, according to LSEG data.

Qualcomm: Riding the Tech Wave in China

Qualcomm, the semiconductor giant, is another stock that could benefit from China's stimulus plan. With 62% of its sales exposure to China, the second-highest among the stocks identified by Barclays, Qualcomm is well-positioned to capitalize on the increased demand for technology products and services in the Chinese market. The company's shares have already popped about 15% this year, riding the broader tailwinds in the technology sector.

Albemarle: Lithium's Resurgence in China

Interestingly, some underperforming stocks could also see a resurgence due to China's stimulus plan. Albemarle, a leading lithium provider, is one such example. With 29% exposure to China, Albemarle's shares have shed more than a third of their value in 2024, partly due to slowing demand for electric vehicles and lower pricing caused by oversupply. However, the stimulus measures could reignite the demand for electric vehicles in China, potentially boosting Albemarle's fortunes.

Merck and Western Digital: Diversifying the Opportunities

Barclays' list of potential winners also includes pharmaceutical giant Merck and data storage solutions provider Western Digital. These companies, with their respective exposure to the Chinese market, could benefit from the broader economic revival in China, offering investors a more diversified approach to capitalizing on the country's stimulus efforts.

Navigating the Opportunities with Caution

While the potential upside for these U.S. stocks is enticing, Pascale cautioned that the majority of the near-term gains are likely capped, despite the strong upward move in Chinese equities on the news. Investors should approach these opportunities with a balanced and well-informed strategy, carefully evaluating the risks and potential rewards associated with each investment.