The Perils of Betting on Troubled Stocks: Why Tilray, Moderna, and Plug Power Are Best Avoided

Feb 8, 2025 at 4:57 PM
Investing in struggling stocks can be tempting, especially when they appear undervalued. However, not all downtrodden equities are poised for a rebound. This article delves into why three prominent companies—Tilray Brands, Moderna, and Plug Power—are far from being safe bets, despite their seemingly attractive prices.

Avoid the Pitfalls: These Stocks Are Not Worth the Risk

The Uncertain Future of Tilray Brands

The cannabis industry has long been viewed as a potential goldmine, with Tilray Brands at the forefront of investor interest. For years, investors have bet on Tilray’s stock as a proxy for the eventual legalization of marijuana in the U.S. market. Moments of regulatory optimism often propelled the stock to new heights. Yet, this optimism has not translated into sustainable growth.In reality, Tilray’s trajectory has been nothing short of disastrous. Over the past five years, the company’s shares have plummeted by over 94%. Despite diversifying into alcoholic beverages, Tilray remains mired in financial difficulties. The company consistently burns through cash and incurs substantial losses. With a market cap now under $1 billion, there is little reason to believe that Tilray will reverse its fortunes anytime soon. Investors should proceed with extreme caution, if not outright avoidance, given the bleak outlook.

Moderna's Missed Opportunities

Healthcare giant Moderna once stood as a beacon of innovation during the pandemic, thanks to its successful COVID-19 vaccine. The company generated billions in revenue, positioning itself as a leader in the healthcare sector. However, instead of leveraging this success to diversify its portfolio, Moderna chose to double down on its focus on COVID-related products.While Moderna has made strides with its respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccine and is developing a flu vaccine, these efforts have not been enough to excite investors. The company’s stock price has retreated to pre-pandemic levels, signaling a lack of confidence in its future prospects. With cost-cutting measures in place and projected revenues significantly lower than expected, Moderna faces an uphill battle to regain its former glory. Without a compelling catalyst on the horizon, investors would be wise to steer clear of this healthcare stock, even if it continues to decline.

The Uncertain Path of Plug Power

Plug Power, once a darling of the meme-stock frenzy, has seen its share price drop precipitously from highs of over $70 in 2021 to less than $2 today. Investors initially pinned their hopes on Plug Power’s hydrogen fuel cell technology as a key player in the green energy revolution. However, the company’s financials tell a different story.As of September 30, 2024, Plug Power had only $94 million in cash and cash equivalents, while burning through over $597 million in just nine months. Operating losses exceeded $720 million during the same period, raising serious concerns about the company’s sustainability. With such dire financial health, Plug Power’s ability to survive, let alone thrive, is highly questionable. Investors seeking growth opportunities would be better served by exploring more stable and financially robust alternatives.