
In a significant development for the housing market, overall mortgage application activity recently saw a robust increase of 3.1% compared to the prior week. This surge was primarily driven by a continuous downward trend in mortgage rates, marking the third consecutive week of declines. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA)'s latest weekly survey, covering the period ending August 1st, revealed that on an unadjusted basis, the index also recorded a 3% rise from the preceding week.
Drilling down into the specifics, the refinance sector displayed particular strength, with applications climbing by 5% week-over-week and an impressive 18% year-over-year. This upward momentum pushed the refinance share of total mortgage applications to 41.5%, its highest point since April. Joel Kan, MBA's Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist, highlighted that borrowers were keen to capitalize on these more attractive rates. He noted that alongside falling Treasury yields, which indicated a softer U.S. economy, the average 30-year fixed rate fell to 6.77%. Consequently, both new purchase and refinance requests saw increases, with purchase activity notably surpassing 2024's pace, supported by an expanding inventory of homes for sale, even as economic headwinds deterred some potential buyers.
Beyond general applications, the seasonally adjusted purchase index rose by 2% from the week before, and the unadjusted purchase index was up 1% week-over-week and 18% year-over-year. An analysis by product type showed the adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) segment's share grew to 8.5% of all applications. Conversely, the FHA share slightly decreased to 18.5%, while the VA share saw an uptick to 13.3%. The USDA share, however, registered a minor decline to 0.5%. Furthermore, average contract interest rates across various loan types uniformly decreased, with jumbo loans falling to 6.65%, FHA-backed 30-year fixed rates decreasing to 6.47%, 15-year fixed rates reaching 6.03%, and 5/1 ARMs settling at 6.06%.
The current market dynamics underscore the resilience of the housing sector and the responsiveness of borrowers to favorable financial conditions. This period of declining interest rates offers a renewed opportunity for individuals and families to engage with the housing market, whether through purchasing a new home or optimizing existing mortgages. It reflects a positive shift, empowering consumers and contributing to broader economic stability and growth.
