Recent market data reveals a slight downturn in overall mortgage application activity, largely influenced by a retreat in refinancing endeavors. This shift comes as interest rates have seen a modest ascent for the second consecutive week. However, an intriguing counter-trend emerges from the purchase loan segment, which recorded its most robust performance in over a month, indicating a sustained appetite among property seekers despite the evolving rate landscape. The nuanced dynamics of the current housing finance sector suggest a market in flux, where some segments contract while others exhibit surprising resilience, adapting to prevailing economic conditions and consumer behaviors.
The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) recently released its weekly survey results for the period concluding August 22, 2025, detailing a fractional decrease of 0.5% in total mortgage applications. A deeper dive into these figures shows that on an unadjusted basis, the index saw a 2% reduction from the preceding week. The refinancing segment bore the brunt of this decline, registering a 4% week-over-week drop, although it remarkably remained 19% higher compared to the same period a year ago. Consequently, the share of refinancing activity within the total application volume modestly receded to 45.3% from 46.1% previously.
Conversely, the seasonally adjusted purchase index presented a more optimistic outlook, climbing 2% from the prior week. Even on an unadjusted basis, the purchase index experienced only a marginal decrease of 0.1% week-over-week, while demonstrating a significant 25% increase when compared to the same week last year. Joel Kan, MBA’s vice president and deputy chief economist, highlighted that while the incremental rise in 30-year fixed-rate mortgages to 6.69% was sufficient to deter some refinancing, it didn't impede the momentum of purchase applications. He noted a growing resilience among potential buyers, who appear less sensitive to current rate levels and are actively participating in a market bolstered by an expansion in housing inventory and a slowdown in home-price appreciation across various regions.
Furthermore, the data sheds light on the evolving preferences for different loan types. The adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) share of activity decreased to 8.4% of total applications. Meanwhile, the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) loan share held steady at 19.1%. Conversely, the Veterans Affairs (VA) loan share slightly dipped to 13.3% from 13.4%, and the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) loan share also saw a minor reduction to 0.5% from 0.6%. The interest rates for 30-year fixed-rate jumbo loans also witnessed an increase, moving from 6.64% to 6.67%. In contrast, the average contract interest rate for FHA-backed 30-year fixed-rate mortgages observed a slight decrease from 6.39% to 6.35%, and 5/1 ARMs also became marginally cheaper, falling from 6.01% to 5.94%. However, the average contract interest rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages experienced an uptick, rising from 5.96% to 6.03%, reflecting a complex interplay of factors influencing mortgage product pricing.
Ultimately, while the overall volume of mortgage applications has seen a slight reduction, driven by a cooling in refinance demand amidst rising interest rates, the resilient performance of purchase applications signals a robust underlying demand for homeownership. This indicates an adapting market where homebuyers are increasingly unfazed by current rate conditions, buoyed by expanding inventory and a more balanced pace of home price adjustments, collectively painting a picture of a dynamic housing finance landscape.
