Major Banks Exceed Third-Quarter Earnings Forecasts

Oct 14, 2025 at 7:42 PM

Major financial institutions, including Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase, and Citigroup, have reported impressive financial outcomes for the third quarter, outperforming market predictions. This success highlights the banking sector's ability to thrive even in a dynamic economic landscape, showcasing growth across key revenue streams and a stable mortgage market.

Big Banks' Stellar Q3 Performance: A Detailed Report

In a significant development for the financial world, major American banks—Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase, and Citigroup Inc.—have announced third-quarter earnings that considerably exceeded investor expectations. This strong showing underscores the resilience of Wall Street amidst an unpredictable economic environment.

Wells Fargo, for instance, recorded a third-quarter revenue of $21.43 billion, surpassing the anticipated $21.14 billion. This positive news led to a notable surge in the company's stock, which climbed by 7.51% to close at $82.08 in pre-market trading. CEO Charlie Scharf attributed this growth to a 5% increase in revenue year-over-year, buoyed by both net interest income and robust fee-based revenue. Furthermore, Scharf was appointed as the company's chairman of the board, effective the same day.

The bank's mortgage origination reached $7 billion between July and September. While slightly down from the second quarter's $7.4 billion, it marked a substantial 27% increase compared to the third quarter of the previous year. Total mortgage revenue also saw a significant boost, rising 45% annually.

JPMorgan Chase also delivered impressive results, with profits escalating by 12% year-on-year to $14.4 billion and revenue growing by 9% to $47.1 billion. The bank originated $13.9 billion in mortgages through its retail and correspondent channels.

Citigroup reported a third-quarter net income of $3.8 billion on revenues totaling $22.1 billion, a considerable improvement from $3.2 billion and $20.2 billion, respectively, during the same period last year. CEO Jane Fraser noted that revenues were up 9%, with every business segment achieving record third-quarter revenues, enhanced returns, and positive operating leverage. Citi's originations for the quarter reached $4.6 billion, up from $4.2 billion in the second quarter.

Analysts from Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (KBW) observed that third-quarter mortgage activity largely met expectations. While loan volumes at JPMorgan increased by 3%, Wells Fargo and Citigroup saw slight declines of 5% and 2%, respectively, aligning closely with the Mortgage Bankers Association's forecast for flat activity. KBW also highlighted an improvement in gain-on-sale margins, with JPMorgan's rising by 13 basis points and Wells Fargo's by 23 basis points, though the latter's broader market impact is limited due to its smaller market share.

Wells Fargo's net income for Q3 2025 stood at $5.6 billion ($1.66 per share), a 9% increase from the previous year. Revenue growth was propelled by a 2% rise in net interest income to $12 billion and a 9% increase in noninterest income to $9.5 billion. Home lending revenue saw a 3% year-over-year increase, reaching $870 million, driven by higher mortgage banking fees, including gains from mortgage servicing rights (MSRs) sales, despite a decrease in net interest income due to smaller loan balances.

JPMorgan's home lending segment remained stable at $1.26 billion. Mortgage servicing revenue rose to $199 million from $196 million in Q2 2025, and its MSR book value slightly increased to $9.1 billion. CFO Jeremy Barnum commented on the rebound in lending, linking it to increased deal activity in their investment banking businesses.

Wells Fargo's net servicing income increased to $152 million, up 33% annually, although its MSR book value decreased to $6.1 billion. Scharf emphasized the strong financial results and improved credit performance, noting a significant return of capital to shareholders, including a 12.5% increase in common stock dividend and $6.1 billion in stock repurchases.

Looking ahead, Wells Fargo projects its full-year 2025 non-interest expenses to be approximately $54.6 billion, with an estimated $13.5 billion for the fourth quarter. JPMorgan anticipates Q4 net interest income around $25 billion and adjusted expenses at $24.5 billion.

Wells Fargo also detailed its ongoing transformation, focusing on streamlined operations, cost reduction, and strategic investments. Since 2019, the bank has divested 12 businesses. With the lifting of its asset cap, Scharf expressed the company's aspiration to become the leading U.S. consumer and small-business bank, a top wealth manager, and a top-five U.S. investment bank. By the end of Q3 2025, Wells Fargo's total assets surpassed $2 trillion for the first time in its history.

Reflections on the Big Banks' Performance

The stellar third-quarter earnings reported by Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase, and Citigroup offer a compelling narrative about the current strength and adaptability of the banking sector. As a financial observer, one cannot help but notice the profound implications of these results. They not only signal a robust recovery and strategic acumen within these giant institutions but also reflect a broader economic stability, especially in key areas like the mortgage market. The ability of these banks to exceed expectations despite various economic pressures suggests effective management, diversified revenue streams, and a keen understanding of market dynamics. This performance should instill confidence among investors and the public alike, demonstrating that the financial bedrock of the economy remains solid and capable of generating significant value, even in challenging times. The focus on strategic investments and operational streamlining also indicates a forward-looking approach, positioning these banks for continued success and growth in the evolving global financial landscape.