Local dealers speculate on the future of electric cars

Sep 19, 2024 at 5:00 PM

The Electrifying Future: Navigating the Shift to Electric Vehicles

The world of transportation is undergoing a transformative shift, as electric vehicles (EVs) gain momentum and challenge the dominance of traditional internal combustion engines. While EVs have been around since the 1800s, their presence on our roads is becoming increasingly common, with major automakers embracing this new era of driving. As the industry grapples with the future, the question remains: will electric vehicles ultimately replace gas-powered cars, or will the internal combustion engine remain a prominent fixture in the retail auto market?

Powering the Future: The Evolving Landscape of Electric Vehicles

Charging Ahead: The Demand and Infrastructure Challenges

The interest in electric vehicles is a crucial factor in determining their future success. According to John Crotty of Crotty Chevrolet, the current level of interest is "very minimum," with no clear affirmative response from consumers. However, Crotty believes that if the charging infrastructure were to improve, the interest would likely increase. The goal, as he states, is for each two-car family to have at least one electric vehicle.The lack of charging stations in the local area is a significant concern, as it can create a barrier for potential EV owners. Crotty, however, believes that this issue may not be as problematic, as he suggests that electric vehicles are most beneficial for those who have a short commute, typically less than 10 miles to work. Frank Fernandi of Humes Ford of Corry echoes this sentiment, stating that electric vehicles are primarily designed for daily commutes rather than long road trips.

The Cost Conundrum: Affordability and Maintenance Challenges

The overall expense of electric vehicles is another factor that may hinder their widespread adoption. Fernandi notes that the cost to replace a battery for an electric vehicle is significantly higher compared to traditional combustion vehicles. This, coupled with the expense of installing a charging station at a private residence, can make electric vehicles financially inaccessible for many consumers.Fernandi also raises concerns about the potential resale value of electric vehicles, stating that the industry is unsure of what the resale values will be once the vehicles have accumulated 60,000 to 80,000 miles. Additionally, he questions whether the increase in electricity usage from charging these vehicles will lead to higher utility bills for owners.

Emission Standards and the Shifting Landscape

As federal emission standards continue to tighten, one might assume that electric vehicles would become a more prominent trend. However, Crotty is not convinced that this will be the case. He believes that the manufacturer companies will find ways to mitigate emissions in traditional internal combustion engines, rather than a widespread shift to electric vehicles.Crotty's perspective is that the goal for electric vehicles is to reach 10% of the overall vehicle market, up from the current 6%. He sees the current situation as a "waiting game," with no electric vehicles currently available on the lot at Crotty Chevrolet.

Hybrid Technology: A Potential Compromise

Fernandi suggests that the industry's focus should shift towards hybrid technology, rather than solely concentrating on electric vehicles. He believes that hybrid vehicles offer a more practical solution, as they combine the benefits of electric and traditional combustion engines.Fernandi acknowledges that while electric vehicles will continue to gain traction, the pace of their adoption may not be as rapid as some might expect. He notes that many Tesla owners have expressed that they would not purchase a second electric vehicle, indicating a potential hesitation among some consumers.

The Evolving Landscape: Navigating the Transition

Despite the challenges and uncertainties surrounding electric vehicles, the manufacturers are actively working to support this emerging technology. Fernandi explains that the CEO of Ford is moving forward with the electric platform, and the company is bringing in a consultant to provide guidance on battery charging requirements.While Fernandi believes that electric vehicles will not become the bulk of the business, he acknowledges that they will be a part of the industry's future. He suggests that the platform for electric vehicles will be rebranded and referred to as "electric cars," drawing a parallel to the way we now think of smartphones.As the industry navigates this transition, it is clear that a multitude of factors will shape the future of electric vehicles. The interest from consumers, the development of charging infrastructure, the cost considerations, and the evolving emission standards will all play a crucial role in determining whether electric vehicles will ultimately replace the internal combustion engine or coexist alongside it.