Futures Pull Back After Wall Street's Record-Closing

Dec 5, 2024 at 10:46 AM
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On Thursday, U.S. stock index futures showed a muted trend. After all three major indexes achieved all-time closing highs in the previous session, they now find themselves pulling back. The focus this week remains on more employment-related data.

Navigating the Stock Market Amidst Employment Data

Stock Index Movements

The S&P 500, Nasdaq, and blue-chip Dow all reached record closing highs on Wednesday. This was mainly driven by the rally in technology shares following upbeat results from companies like Salesforce and Marvell Technology. Such positive performances have had an impact on the overall market sentiment.During Wednesday's discussions, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated that the economy is stronger than the central bank had anticipated in September. He also seemed to suggest his support for a slower pace of interest-rate cuts going forward. Meanwhile, San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly stated that there is "no sense of urgency" in cutting rates. The comments from Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin will be closely watched later in the day.Currently, traders anticipate a 74% chance of the Fed easing its monetary policy by 25-basis-points later this month, as per CME's FedWatch Tool. This expectation adds to the market's volatility and uncertainty.

Weekly Jobless Claims and Monthly Jobs Data

Before markets open, a reading of weekly jobless claims will be awaited. This is an important indicator as it provides insights into the labor market. In the lead-up to Friday's monthly jobs data, which is the centerpiece of this week, these jobless claims data will play a crucial role in shaping market expectations.BNP Paribas economists noted in a note that ahead of the "live" Fed policy meeting in December, special factors such as weather, the resolved Boeing strike, and election effects are likely to cloud the read on the job market. Their forecasts suggest that the November jobs report will be just ambiguous enough, with strong job growth but a slight rise in unemployment and moderate gains in pay. This ambiguity keeps a December rate cut as the base case.

Pre-Market Trading and Company Updates

Although the earnings seasons have reached a certain point, quarterly results from Dollar General and Kroger will be on the watchlist before markets open. These results will provide valuable insights into the performance of specific companies and their respective sectors.In premarket trading, cryptocurrency- and blockchain-related stocks saw a significant jump. Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, stormed above the $100,000 mark for the first time. As a result, exchange operator Coinbase Global rose by 3.4%, miner MARA Holdings added 6.3%, and the largest corporate holder of bitcoin MicroStrategy advanced 6.1%.However, SentinelOne dropped 14.7% after missing Wall Street estimates for third-quarter profit. Synopsys also fell 7.4% after the chip design software firm forecast fiscal 2025 revenue below Wall Street expectations, partly due to a slump in China sales.At 5:08 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 9 points (0.02%), S&P 500 E-minis were down 1.25 points (0.02%), and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 22 points (0.1%). These movements reflect the complex and dynamic nature of the market in the current economic environment.