Another European negotiator's assertion regarding $250 billion as a "good ballpark figure" brings to the forefront the crucial role it plays in global climate efforts. As senior Biden administration officials have pointed out, they are working towards a deal that a future government can build upon. The past decade has seen significant efforts to meet previous, smaller goals, but reaching $250 billion will demand even greater ambition and an extraordinary reach. It will require not only ambitious bilateral actions but also contributions from multilateral development banks and efforts to better mobilize private finance.
Environmental organizations believe that governments have the potential to achieve a loftier number. Joe Thwaites, senior advocate for international climate finance at the Natural Resources Defense Council, stated that the changes already underway in lending practices at multilateral development banks like the World Bank will free up tens of billions of dollars in additional finance. This primarily flows from rich to poor countries, providing a significant boost. Countries can also consider "modest increases" in country-to-country finance, further enhancing the available resources.
At COP29, a major bone of contention has been the U.S. and European demands on wealthy, yet technically still developing, nations such as China, Singapore, and the Gulf states to contribute to the climate finance pot. The draft essentially leaves this option open to those under pressure to donate, inviting "developing country Parties to make additional contributions" either as part of the goal or by "supplementing" it through what China often refers to as "South-South" finance. This stance by the U.S. and Europe reflects their efforts to ensure a more equitable sharing of the climate finance burden.
China, which entered the talks reluctant to make any concessions, has stated that it has provided around $25 billion in total since 2016. This figure, while significant, may not be sufficient to meet the growing demands of the climate crisis. The ongoing discussions at COP29 highlight the need for all major economies to step up and contribute their fair share to address this global challenge.