Deutsche Bank on what stocks to buy if Kamala Harris wins

Sep 12, 2024 at 3:57 PM

Navigating the Shifting Political Landscape: Investors' Strategies for a Harris Presidency

As the 2024 presidential election looms, investors are closely monitoring the potential impact of a Kamala Harris victory on the stock market. Deutsche Bank's analysis provides a comprehensive outlook on the sectors and individual companies that could thrive under a Democratic administration, offering valuable insights for savvy investors.

Unlocking Opportunities in a Shifting Political Climate

Residential Construction Suppliers: Riding the Wave of Housing Support

In the event of a Harris presidency, residential construction suppliers are poised to benefit from increased government support for the housing sector. Analysts at Deutsche Bank have identified several companies that could capitalize on this trend, including Lennox International, Stanley Black & Decker, Carrier Global, Trane Technologies, and Pentair. These firms, specializing in products and services essential to the construction and maintenance of residential properties, are likely to see a surge in demand as the administration prioritizes housing affordability and accessibility.

Embracing a "Cooperative and Less Protectionist" Global Order

A Harris victory could also signal a shift towards a more collaborative and open international trade environment, according to Deutsche Bank's analysis. Companies such as Stanley Black & Decker and Zurn Elkay Water Solutions are poised to benefit from this potential shift, as they operate in industries that could thrive in a less protectionist global landscape. Investors may find these stocks attractive as they seek to capitalize on the opportunities presented by a more cooperative world order.

Powering the Transition: Electric Products and Systems

The Inflation Reduction Act, a key piece of legislation under the current administration, has been a driving force in the renewable energy and sustainability sectors. Assuming this act remains intact under a Harris presidency, companies like Eaton, Hubbell, and Vertiv, which specialize in electric products and systems, could see a surge in demand as the push for clean energy and energy efficiency continues.

Heating Up: HVAC Stocks in the Spotlight

Closely related to the residential construction and energy efficiency themes, HVAC (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning) stocks are also expected to benefit from a Harris administration. Lennox International, Carrier Global, Trane Technologies, and Johnson Controls International are among the companies that could see increased demand for their products and services as the focus on energy-efficient and climate-friendly solutions intensifies.

Navigating the PFAS Regulatory Landscape

The regulation of per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS), a group of synthetic chemicals with potential health and environmental concerns, is another area that could see increased attention under a Harris presidency. Xylem, a company specializing in water treatment and management solutions, is identified by Deutsche Bank as a potential beneficiary of this regulatory shift, as it positions itself to address the growing need for PFAS remediation and mitigation.

Broader Implications: Balancing Support and Corporate Taxation

Beyond the specific industry and company-level insights, Deutsche Bank's analysis suggests that a Harris victory would likely bring more support for lower-income households through housing subsidies and tax breaks, but also potentially higher corporate tax rates. This delicate balance between social welfare initiatives and corporate taxation will be a key consideration for investors as they navigate the shifting political landscape.As the 2024 election approaches, savvy investors would be wise to closely monitor the evolving political and economic landscape, and to consider the potential implications of a Kamala Harris presidency on their investment strategies. By staying informed and adaptable, they can position themselves to capitalize on the emerging opportunities and navigate the challenges that may arise in the years to come.