Advisors Focus on Equities, Longer-Term Bonds Amid Fed’s Rate Cut

Sep 18, 2024 at 7:40 PM

Navigating the Shifting Tides: Advisors Adjust Strategies Amid Fed Rate Cuts

The Federal Reserve's recent decision to cut the target for the Federal Funds Rate has sent ripples through the financial landscape, prompting advisors to reevaluate their portfolio strategies. As the central bank signals further rate reductions in the coming months, wealth management firms are taking proactive steps to position their clients for the evolving market conditions.

Unlocking Opportunities in a Changing Rate Environment

Embracing Longer-Term Bonds and Equities

With the Fed's move to lower rates, many advisors have already taken steps to adjust their fixed-income allocations. Gary Quinzel, vice president of portfolio consulting at Wealth Enhancement Group, explains that the firm has shifted away from short-term Treasuries and is now focused on maintaining duration in its bond portfolio. This strategy aims to capitalize on the steeper yield curve and potential opportunities in investment-grade credit.Quinzel also notes that the rate cut is expected to have a positive impact on equities. Wealth Enhancement Group has been shading away from growth stocks and increasing its exposure to the broader S&P 493 index, while maintaining a focus on high-quality U.S. equities. This approach reflects the firm's belief that the market will continue to benefit from the more accommodative monetary policy.

Diversifying Fixed-Income Portfolios

Edelman Financial Engines, another prominent RIA, has taken a more diversified approach to its fixed-income holdings. According to Neil Gilfedder, the firm's CIO, the portfolio is designed to provide a broad range of fixed-income assets, diversified by issuer and maturity schedule. This strategy aims to mitigate the uncertainty surrounding the timing and magnitude of future rate cuts.However, Gilfedder advises clients who have previously parked their cash in money market funds to consider redeploying those funds. With the Fed poised to continue lowering rates, he believes that staying on the sidelines could mean missing out on potential capital appreciation opportunities.

Increasing Interest Rate Sensitivity

Barry Gilbert, portfolio manager at Carson Group, has also been proactive in adjusting the firm's bond portfolio. The firm added exposure to long-term Treasuries last November and has been keeping its short-term bond positions to a minimum. This move reflects the anticipated shift towards rate cuts and supports the firm's continued overweight position in stocks.

Sector Rotation and Value Stocks

Jeff Buchbinder, chief equity strategist at LPL Financial, has analyzed historical market performance following initial rate cuts. His research suggests that value stocks may slightly outperform their growth counterparts in the initial months after a cut, while growth stocks tend to take the lead in the longer term. Buchbinder also notes that defensive sectors, such as healthcare and consumer staples, have typically outperformed in the early stages of a rate-cutting cycle.In response to these findings, LPL Research has upgraded healthcare to a neutral rating and recommends overweighting communication services, while maintaining a neutral stance on consumer staples. The firm continues to advise investors to stay fully invested in equities, while being mindful of potential volatility ahead of the upcoming election.

Navigating the Macro Landscape

Rick Wedell, president and CIO of RFG Advisory, emphasizes the importance of considering the broader macroeconomic implications of the Fed's actions. He notes that the single biggest issue for portfolios is the overall effect on the economy. Wedell suggests that a gradual shift from short-term to longer-term fixed-income securities may be warranted, as the Fed signals further rate cuts in the coming year.Philip W. Malakoff, executive managing director and director of research at First Long Island Investors, echoes this sentiment. The firm has been increasing the duration of its fixed-income portfolio for about a year, anticipating the Fed's move. Additionally, First Long Island Investors has slightly increased its equity exposure, with a focus on value stocks, dividend-paying companies, and real estate investment trusts (REITs), which are expected to benefit from lower borrowing costs.As the financial landscape continues to evolve, advisors are carefully navigating the shifting tides, adjusting their strategies to capitalize on the opportunities presented by the Fed's rate cuts and positioning their clients for long-term success.