Why Nasdaq, S&P 500 Futures Are Little Changed on Wednesday – Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (NASDAQ:QQQ), SPDR S&P 500 (ARCA:SPY)

Oct 9, 2024 at 11:29 AM
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Wall Street Navigates Volatile Terrain as Investors Brace for Key Economic Data

The markets are experiencing a see-sawing mood, with index futures pointing to a marginally lower start on Wednesday. Nvidia Corp. is advancing in premarket trading, while the rest of the big tech stocks are just about higher. Commodities are weakening, and bond yields are easing. Traders are keeping a close eye on the Federal Reserve's September rate-setting meeting minutes, speeches by Fed officials, and developments around Hurricane Milton's landfall in Florida.

Navigating the Shifting Tides of Wall Street

Futures Snapshot: A Mixed Bag

The futures market is reflecting a cautious sentiment, with the Nasdaq 100 futures down 0.08%, the S&P 500 futures down 0.06%, the Dow futures down 0.07%, and the Russell 2000 futures down 0.13%. In premarket trading, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust edged down 0.04% to $572.93, and the Invesco QQQ ETF moved down 0.209% to $488.85.

Cues from the Previous Session: A Tech-Led Rebound

The previous session witnessed a strong rally on Wall Street, driven by gains in the IT, communication services, and consumer discretionary sectors. The Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 500 hovered in positive territory throughout the session, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average experienced some volatility before closing modestly higher. Nvidia Corp. rose over 4% after positive commentary from Hon Hai Precision Manufacturing Co. Ltd. about the demand for the former's Blackwell GB200 chips, which had a positive ripple effect on other AI-levered tech stocks.

Analysts' Insights: A Bullish Outlook

As the current bull market approaches its second anniversary, a strategist has suggested that there could be many more years of gains. Carson Group's Chief Market Strategist, Ryan Detrick, noted that the S&P 500 Index is up 61% so far in this bull market, and on average, a bull market lasts about 5.5 years and the average gain is 181%. Detrick believes the bull market may not end soon, stating that "many more years of gains would be perfectly normal" based on the performance of the index during previous bull markets.

Economic Data and Fed Speakers in Focus

Investors will be closely monitoring a slew of economic data and Fed speakers on Wednesday. The Commerce Department is set to release the wholesale inventories report for August, while the Energy Information Administration will publish its weekly petroleum status report. The Federal Open Market Committee will also release the minutes of its September rate-setting meeting, which could provide insights into the central bank's policy decisions.The Fed speakers lined up for the day include Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson, Boston Fed President Susan Collins, and San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly. Their remarks will be closely watched for any clues about the Fed's future monetary policy actions.

Earnings Season Kicks into High Gear

The upcoming earnings season is also a key focus for investors, with several notable companies scheduled to report their quarterly results over the next two sessions. These include Helen of Troy Limited, Applied Digital Corporation, and AZZ Inc. The earnings reports are expected to provide early indications of how this reporting season will unfold, potentially influencing market sentiment.

Stocks in the Spotlight

Astera Labs, Inc. climbed over 7% after the company announced a new portfolio of fabric switches meant for demanding AI workloads in accelerated computing platforms deployed at cloud-scale. Affirm Holdings, Inc. rose over 3% on a positive analyst action, while Boeing Company slipped over 1% after the company said talks with union members weren't going smoothly, leading to a negative rating action by S&P. Australian miner Arcadium Lithium plc soared more than 30% after announcing an agreement to be acquired by Rio Tinto Group.

Commodities and Global Markets

Crude oil futures traded modestly lower, following Tuesday's sharp retreat, and gold futures were little changed. Bitcoin was down less than a percent at a little over $62,000. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note was down 1.9 points to 4.016%.The Asian markets had a mixed outing, with China's Shanghai Composite slumping 6.62% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index falling 1.38%, while the Japanese market advanced. The European markets were firmer in early trading on Wednesday.As investors navigate the shifting tides of Wall Street, the upcoming economic data, Fed speakers, and earnings reports will be closely watched for clues about the market's direction. The see-sawing mood and the potential for further volatility underscore the need for investors to remain vigilant and adaptable in the face of the ever-changing market landscape.