What lower inflation and Fed rate cuts could mean for I Bonds, CDs and savers

Oct 3, 2024 at 10:05 AM

Navigating the Shifting Tides of CD Rates: Strategies for Savvy Savers

As the Federal Reserve embarks on its interest rate-cutting path, savers who once relished higher yields are now experiencing a bit of a letdown. While it's still possible to secure solid rates on certificates of deposit (CDs), the best deals of the year were often offered back in January. Experts warn that rates are likely to decline further in the months ahead, leaving savers to navigate the changing landscape with care.

Unlock the Secrets to Maximizing Your CD Earnings

The Ebb and Flow of Promotional Rates

The highest promotional rate on a one-year CD currently stands at 4.75%, a significant drop from the 5.66% offered in January. Similarly, five-year CD promotions have fallen from 4.75% to around 4.25%. However, it's important to note that average rates are far lower than these promotional offerings, with the average one-year CD rate at 1.98% and the average five-year CD rate at 1.42%.

The Importance of Diligent Shopping

To secure the best rates, savers must be proactive in their search. Scanning advertisements, reviewing postcards, and exploring online outlets for high-yielding promotions is crucial. Failing to shop around can result in settling for subpar rates. Careful attention to the fine print is also essential, as factors like early withdrawal penalties, automatic renewal policies, and minimum deposit requirements can significantly impact the overall yield.

Navigating the Shifting Landscape

While some attractive rates remain on the market, the landscape is constantly evolving. Online banks like Limelight Bank, Goldwater Bank, and Ally Bank continue to offer competitive one-year and five-year CD rates, ranging from 4.25% to 4.75%. Credit unions, such as Michigan State Federal Credit Union, also provide enticing options, with one-year CD rates as high as 3.75% and five-year CD rates up to 3.25%.

The Allure of Shorter-Term CDs

Interestingly, shorter-term CDs, such as one-year certificates, are often offering higher rates than their longer-term counterparts. This trend is attributed to the anticipation that the Federal Reserve will continue to cut short-term interest rates in the coming years, making banks reluctant to lock in higher rates for an extended period.

Exploring Alternative Options

Savers seeking even higher yields may want to consider Barclays' CD offering a 5.1% yield for six months, with the caveat of requiring a deposit within 14 days of opening the account. Synchrony also offers a nine-month CD at 4.5% with no minimum deposit.

Timing the Market: Locking in Higher Rates

Experts advise savers to consider locking in higher rates now, as the trend of rate cuts is expected to continue. The average online one-year CD rate has already fallen from a peak of 5.35% on January 1 to 4.38% as of October 1. For those concerned about needing the money before the CD matures, no-penalty CDs may be a suitable option.

The Evolving Landscape of I Bonds

Another inflation-fueled savings opportunity, Series I U.S. Savings Bonds, have also seen changes. Bonds purchased and issued before October 31 carry a 4.28% annualized rate for six months, with a fixed rate of 1.3% for the bond's 30-year life. However, experts predict that the fixed rate and the inflation-based component will likely decrease in the coming months, potentially resulting in a composite rate around 3% or less for bonds issued after November 1.

The Impending End of Paper I Bonds

Savers should also be aware of the upcoming changes to the TreasuryDirect program, which will no longer allow the purchase of up to an additional $5,000 in paper I Bonds with tax refunds starting January 1, 2025. This option, which has been available to taxpayers, will be discontinued due to concerns over fraud, theft, loss, and delays associated with mailing paper bonds.In conclusion, the shifting landscape of CD rates and I Bonds presents both challenges and opportunities for savvy savers. By staying informed, diligently shopping for the best deals, and considering alternative options, savers can navigate these changes and maximize their earnings in the months and years ahead.