As anticipation builds for the prestigious Kentucky Derby, bettors and enthusiasts alike are turning their attention to underdog contenders who could potentially shake up the competition. This analysis delves into several promising yet overlooked competitors, each with unique attributes that might propel them to unexpected success. From Tappan Street's remarkable closing speed to Luxor Cafe's international allure, these horses present intriguing opportunities for savvy investors.
Potential Powerhouses Among the Underdogs
Tappan Street has emerged as a notable contender, thanks to his impressive performance in the Florida Derby where he edged out Sovereignty. Despite limited racing experience, this Brad Cox-trained horse boasts an extraordinary ability to close races effectively. Currently ranked sixth in Derby Futures at odds of +1400, Tappan Street's potential remains high if he continues demonstrating strong practice performances at Churchill Downs.
This lightly raced closer showcases exceptional talent despite minimal exposure on the track. His victory in the Florida Derby underscores not only his competitive spirit but also his adaptability under pressure. As one of Into Mischief’s progeny, expectations surrounding Tappan Street have grown steadily since January when he was listed at 71-1 in Pool 3 Futures. Should his morning workouts maintain current standards, there is a real possibility that his betting odds could plummet into single digits by race day.
International Hopefuls and Domestic Surprises
Luxor Cafe aims to make history as Japan's first Kentucky Derby victor, following an awe-inspiring five-length triumph in the Fukuryu Stakes. Trained by Noriyuki Hori and piloted by Joao Moreira, this American Pharoah descendant exhibits both power and precision, making him a formidable competitor among foreign participants. After starting at long odds of 98-1 earlier this year, Luxor Cafe's prospects brightened considerably post-Fukuryu win.
The inclusion of Japanese thoroughbreds like Luxor Cafe adds diversity and intrigue to the Derby lineup. Historically unsuccessful in previous attempts, Japanese entrants now seek redemption through innovative strategies tailored specifically for American tracks. Meanwhile, domestic hopefuls such as Citizen Bull, trained by Bob Baffert, demonstrate resilience even amidst setbacks. Although his Santa Anita Derby defeat raised questions about consistency, memories linger of his commanding Breeders' Cup Juvenile victory last year.
