Tesla's Surge Amidst Regulatory Hopes

Nov 18, 2024 at 3:55 PM
Tesla shares witnessed a remarkable 7.2% jump on Monday, setting the stage for a significant development. This surge came following a report indicating that President-elect Donald Trump intends to expedite the regulatory process for self-driving vehicles. The implications of this move are far-reaching and could potentially reshape the future of the automotive industry.

Tesla's Path to Autonomy with Trump's Support

Regulatory Streamlining and Tesla's Advantage

Trump's transition team is focused on making a federal framework for fully autonomous vehicles a top priority within the Transportation Department. This streamlined regulatory system holds great promise for Tesla founder Elon Musk. It aligns with Tesla's longstanding goal of releasing a fleet of fully self-driving cars. As Wedbush analyst Dan Ives noted, "Musk's significant influence in the Trump White House is already having a major influence and ultimately the golden path for Tesla around Cybercabs and autonomous [vehicles] is now within reach." The current NHTSA regulations only allow for 2,500 self-driving vehicles to be deployed per year, and attempts to raise this limit to 100,000 have failed. However, with the potential for a more favorable regulatory environment, Tesla could see a significant boost in its autonomous vehicle efforts.

During Tesla's third-quarter earnings call, the billionaire CEO expressed his intention to use any potential position in government to advocate for a federal regulatory framework. This shows Tesla's proactive approach in seeking favorable conditions for its growth. The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration has not yet responded to a request for comment, leaving the future of these regulatory changes somewhat uncertain.

Elon Musk, the world's richest person with a net worth of $303.7 billion according to Forbes, has been a vocal advocate for a Trump win. In October, he unveiled the "Cybercab" and "Robovan" during an event in Los Angeles. This move showcases Tesla's commitment to developing autonomous vehicles and taking on traditional taxi and rideshare services like Uber and Lyft. By releasing human-less, autonomous cabs, Tesla aims to disrupt the transportation industry.

Google's Waymo and Tesla's Competition

Google's Waymo has already achieved a significant milestone by releasing fully self-driving vehicles on the road. In June, the company expanded its self-driving service to all users in San Francisco. This poses a challenge to Tesla, as it shows that other companies are also making progress in the autonomous vehicle space. However, Tesla founder Elon Musk remains confident and has said he will use his influence to advocate for a regulatory framework that benefits his company.

Trump has selected Musk and entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy to lead the Department of Government Efficiency. The new agency, called "DOGE," was pitched by Musk as a way to cut unnecessary government spending. This move could have implications for Tesla's regulatory efforts and potentially lead to a more streamlined approval process.

On Sunday, Ramaswamy expressed his expectations of significant cuts within federal agencies and among federal contractors. This could potentially free up resources that could be beneficial for Tesla's growth. Meanwhile, Uber shares fell 5.8% and Lyft shares dropped 6.9% on Monday as investors worry about Tesla's auto-cabs potentially crushing the competition. Tesla's potential dominance in the autonomous vehicle market could have a major impact on the future of the rideshare industry.

Benefits and Challenges for Tesla

The potential for a smoother stamp-of-approval process is one of the key benefits that Tesla could gain from Trump's support. Since Election Day, Tesla's stock has grown 27.6%, and Musk's net worth has increased by about $40 billion. This demonstrates the positive impact that Trump's policies could have on Tesla's financial performance.

However, Tesla still faces challenges in the development and deployment of self-driving vehicles. Current federal rules hamper automakers' efforts to deploy large quantities of self-driving vehicles without steering wheels or pedals. Tesla will need to navigate these challenges and continue to innovate to stay ahead in the competitive autonomous vehicle market.

Trump's team is considering Emil Michael, a former Uber executive, for the Transportation secretary position. This could bring a different perspective to the regulatory process and potentially impact Tesla's efforts. As the industry continues to evolve, Tesla will need to adapt and leverage its strengths to achieve its goals.