Tesla's (TSLA) third-quarter earnings report has sent shockwaves through the automotive industry, with the electric vehicle (EV) giant showcasing its remarkable resilience and ambitious plans for the future. From a profit beat and improving margins to an enhanced growth outlook and the promise of a more affordable EV, Tesla's latest disclosures have analysts buzzing with excitement.Powering Ahead: Tesla's Impressive Q3 Performance
Margin Mastery: The Key to Tesla's Success
Tesla's ability to maintain and even improve its margins has been a key driver of its success. The company's auto gross margin strength, coupled with its Energy and Services divisions tracking above estimates, has impressed analysts. Bank of America's John Murphy has raised his price target on Tesla, citing "improved gross margin in 3Q24 as a result of lower [raw material costs], Cybertruck ramp, execution/cost cutting, reg credits, and higher volume."
The margin story is further bolstered by Tesla's relentless efforts to drive down the cost of vehicle production. Analysts estimate that the company has already achieved a 30-40% reduction in its cost of goods, with the potential for an additional 20-30% decrease in the coming year. This cost-cutting prowess, combined with Tesla's technological advancements, is poised to fuel the company's next wave of growth.
Charging Towards the Future: Tesla's Growth Outlook
Tesla's management has provided a tantalizing glimpse into the company's future, projecting a material step-up in unit volumes by 20-30% in 2025. This ambitious target is fueled by the expected production start of a more affordable vehicle in the first half of 2025, as well as the highly anticipated Cybercab.
Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas has adjusted his projections accordingly, now forecasting a 14% annual growth rate (2.07 million units) for 2025. This would translate to around 510,000 to 520,000 units delivered in the fourth quarter of 2024, a significant increase from current levels.
Autonomous Ambitions: Tesla's Robotaxi Rollout
Tesla's foray into autonomous driving and robotaxi technology has captured the attention of analysts. The company's recent Robotaxi event and positive developments with the 4680 battery have further bolstered confidence in its self-driving capabilities.
Deutsche Bank's Edison Yu believes that the incremental information on Cybercab and robotaxi testing "fueled more debate" on the merits of this business line going forward. Wedbush's Dan Ives is particularly bullish, stating that "we could be in a Cybercab in the next two to three years, so we're not talking about something that's five, 10 years down the road. This is something that will over the coming years become a reality."
Unlocking the AI Advantage: Tesla's Technological Edge
Tesla's focus on end-to-end AI integration has positioned the company as a leading technology platform, with the potential to leverage its expertise in autonomous driving and humanoid robotics. Deutsche Bank's Edison Yu believes that "Tesla is well positioned as a technology platform to leverage end-to-end AI into a leading position in autonomous driving and humanoid robotics."
This technological edge, combined with Tesla's impressive margin performance and growth outlook, has analysts convinced that the company is poised for continued success. Wedbush's Dan Ives, one of the most bullish Tesla analysts on the street, has described the company's latest earnings report as an "early Christmas present" for investors, highlighting the "renaissance of growth" that lies ahead.