Solar stocks get a Harris bump. What the charts say about whether the rally is for real

Sep 11, 2024 at 4:56 PM

Renewable Energy Stocks Surge Ahead as Solar Shines Bright

In a market landscape marked by broad equity selloffs, one industry group has emerged as a standout performer - the solar sector. Fueled by renewed optimism for renewable energy following the presidential debate, solar stocks have surged to the top of the leaderboard, defying the broader market's downward trend. This article delves into the technical configurations of two of the strongest players in the solar space, First Solar Inc. (FSLR) and Sunrun Inc. (RUN), to uncover the potential drivers behind this recent upswing and explore the larger implications for the industry.

Harnessing the Sun's Power: Solar Stocks Shine Bright Amidst Market Turmoil

Navigating the Consolidation Phase: First Solar's Resilience

Earlier this year, First Solar Inc. (FSLR) showcased an impressive run of outperforming the S&P 500, reaching a high just above $300 in mid-June. However, the stock quickly retreated, finding new support around $210 and eventually settling into a trading range between $200 and $240. This price range aligns well with previous resistance levels from 2023, adding further conviction to the importance of these levels. When a stock is in a consolidation phase, with clear support and resistance levels, it's often prudent to wait for a confirmed move outside of that price range. For First Solar, a break above the established resistance around $240 would complete the upside rotation and signal a likely retest of the 2024 high around $300.

Sunrun's Ascending Uptrend: A Promising Technical Configuration

In contrast, Sunrun Inc. (RUN) appears to be in a more attractive technical configuration at this juncture. After finding support around $9 in late 2023 and retesting that level in early 2024, the stock has now established a clear pattern of higher highs and higher lows, indicating an uptrend phase. When a stock is in an uptrend, pullbacks to the 50-day moving average often provide ideal entry points to ride the next leg higher. This week, RUN has actually pulled back to an ascending 50-day moving average, suggesting a potential higher low to continue the uptrend. However, Sunrun does have some overhead resistance to contend with, as the stock has often topped out in the $20-$24 range over the last two years. If RUN can finally break above the $24 level, that would signal clear skies ahead from a technical perspective.

Renewable Energy's Resilience: Navigating Market Volatility

When the broader markets experience a risk-off mode, it can be particularly valuable to identify stocks and themes that are moving counter to the downside market thrust. While solar stocks still have much to prove, their current technical configurations suggest that investors should keep a close eye on this space, especially as the November elections approach. The surge in solar stocks amidst the broader market selloff highlights the growing importance and resilience of the renewable energy sector, which may continue to attract investor attention in the face of ongoing market turbulence.

Unlocking the Potential: Factors Driving the Solar Sector's Ascent

The recent upswing in solar stocks can be attributed to a confluence of factors, including the renewed optimism for renewable energy following the presidential debate and the broader market's shift towards more sustainable investment strategies. As the world grapples with the pressing challenges of climate change and the need for clean energy solutions, the solar industry has emerged as a key player in the global energy transition. With advancements in technology, increasing cost-competitiveness, and supportive policy initiatives, the solar sector has gained significant momentum, positioning it as a promising investment opportunity for those seeking exposure to the growing renewable energy landscape.

Navigating the Solar Sector: Opportunities and Considerations

Investors interested in the solar sector should closely monitor the technical configurations and market dynamics of leading players like First Solar and Sunrun. While the recent upswing in solar stocks is encouraging, it's essential to consider the broader market conditions, potential headwinds, and the long-term growth prospects of the industry. As with any investment, thorough research, risk assessment, and a diversified portfolio approach are crucial to navigating the solar sector successfully. By staying informed and attuned to the evolving trends in the renewable energy space, investors can potentially capitalize on the solar industry's promising future and contribute to the global transition towards a more sustainable energy landscape.