Melbourne Cup 2024: cheat sheet, why every horse can and can’t win, analysis, form guide, tips, form, best prediction

Nov 4, 2024 at 7:00 PM
The Melbourne Cup, one of the world's most prestigious horse races, is set to captivate the nation once again on Tuesday, November 5th. With 24 horses lining up for the 3200-meter battle at Flemington, the stage is set for an epic showdown that could see a new champion crowned. As the anticipation builds, let's delve into the key contenders and explore why each horse can – and can't – emerge victorious in the race that stops a nation.

Unraveling the Mysteries of the Melbourne Cup

The Proven Performers

Vauban, the Irish-trained runner, boasts an impressive resume that includes a fourth-place finish in a 4023-meter race, suggesting he has the stamina to handle the grueling Melbourne Cup distance. However, his disappointing 14th-place finish in last year's edition has left some doubts, and the trainer will need to have learned from that experience. Buckaroo, trained by the legendary Chris Waller, has been in scintillating form, with a string of top-two finishes, including a close second in the Caulfield Cup. His class and pedigree make him a formidable contender, but the extra 800 meters could pose a challenge.

The Emerging Talents

Warp Speed, the Japanese stayer, has shown promise in his homeland, but his only Australian start resulted in a 13th-place finish in the Caulfield Cup. The longer distance may suit him better, but he'll need to prove he can adapt to the unique demands of the Melbourne Cup. Kovalica, trained by Chris Waller, has won the Queensland Derby but has struggled to find the winner's circle since, despite a few placings. His lack of experience beyond 2400 meters could be a concern.

The International Invaders

Absurde, the Irish-trained runner, has a strong pedigree and is no stranger to the Melbourne Cup, having finished just outside the top six last year. His recent form, including a win over 2916 meters in England, suggests he's primed for another big run. Onesmoothoperator, the English raider, impressed with a dominant victory in the Geelong Cup, a key Melbourne Cup trial, and his proven ability over longer distances makes him a tempting prospect.

The Local Hopes

Just Fine, trained by the legendary Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott, has shown his prowess at Flemington, winning the Bart Cummings over 2520 meters. However, his disappointing last-place finish in the Moonee Valley Cup raises questions about his ability to handle the grueling Melbourne Cup distance. Land Legend, trained by Chris Waller, has shown promise, but his wide barrier draw and distance doubts could prove challenging.

The Outsiders with Potential

Zardozi, trained by James Cummings, the grandson of the legendary Bart Cummings, has the pedigree and the talent to spring a surprise. However, her lack of experience beyond 2500 meters and the fact that mares have struggled in recent years could work against her. Sea King, a recent import from Britain, made a stunning debut in the Bendigo Cup and could be the dark horse to watch, but the step up to the Melbourne Cup distance remains unproven.

The Longshots with a Chance

Fancy Man, at big odds, turned in a respectable run in the Caulfield Cup and could be the type of honest, tough gelding that can outperform expectations in the Melbourne Cup. Interpretation, another Ciaron Maher-trained runner, has the experience of a sixth-place finish in last year's edition and could be primed for an improved performance.As the anticipation builds, the 2024 Melbourne Cup promises to be a thrilling spectacle, with a diverse array of contenders vying for the coveted trophy. From the proven performers to the emerging talents, the international invaders, and the local hopes, the race is wide open, and anything can happen on the hallowed turf of Flemington. Tune in on November 5th to witness the drama unfold as the race that stops a nation captivates the hearts and minds of racing enthusiasts around the world.