Market Trends: Stock Futures Rise Amid AWS Outage and Holiday Shopping Outlook

Oct 20, 2025 at 11:47 AM

This report summarizes key market movements and consumer trends. Stock futures are showing an upward trajectory, despite a significant outage affecting Amazon Web Services (AWS) globally. Major indexes, including the Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Dow Jones Industrial Average, closed last week with notable gains. Concurrently, gold prices are nearing record highs, and Bitcoin is rebounding from recent dips. In other news, the upcoming holiday shopping season is expected to see consumers prioritizing bargain hunting amidst persistent price increases.

Market Snapshot: Futures Surge, Gold Shines, and Holiday Shoppers Seek Deals

As the trading week commenced, stock futures displayed a robust performance on Monday, October 20, 2025. This uplift occurred despite an overnight disruption experienced by Amazon Web Services (AWS), which temporarily affected numerous websites globally. Futures tied to the tech-heavy Nasdaq advanced by 0.4%, while the broader S&P 500 and the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average saw gains of 0.3% and 0.2% respectively. These movements followed a week where all three major indexes registered an approximate 2% increase, overcoming periods of volatile trading.

In the commodities market, gold futures continued their ascent, climbing 1.6% to reach $4,280 per ounce. This precious metal maintains its role as a safe haven amidst market uncertainties and an ongoing U.S. government shutdown, which has now extended beyond 20 days. Gold prices had already marked a new record high of $4,392 early on Friday. The 10-year Treasury yield, a key indicator for borrowing costs such as mortgages, remained relatively stable at 4.01%, hovering near its six-month lows.

Cryptocurrency markets also saw activity, with Bitcoin trading at $110,800, a recovery from weekend lows around $107,000. The U.S. dollar index strengthened slightly, reaching 98.58 against a basket of international currencies. Conversely, West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures experienced a modest decline of nearly 1%, settling at $57.05 per barrel.

Company-specific news included Amazon (AMZN) shares, which initially dipped due to the AWS outage but later recovered to trade higher in premarket activity. Apple (AAPL), another component of the 'Magnificent Seven' group, saw its stock rise by approximately 1.5%. This boost came after Counterpoint Research reported that Apple's new iPhone 17 series surpassed the iPhone 16 in sales by 14% within its first ten days in the U.S. and China markets. Tesla (TSLA) shares edged up about 1% ahead of its quarterly earnings report scheduled for Wednesday. This follows a recommendation from proxy advisor Institutional Shareholder Services for shareholders to reject CEO Elon Musk's proposed $1 trillion compensation package. Cooper Cos. (COO) stock jumped 4% following a Wall Street Journal report indicating that activist investor Jana Partners had acquired a stake and plans to advocate for strategic alternatives, potentially a merger of its contact-lens division with Bausch + Lomb (BLCO), whose shares also increased by approximately 1%. Oracle (ORCL) stock, which had fallen nearly 7% on Friday, showed a slight rebound of less than 1% before the bell. Boeing (BA) shares rose 1.5% after receiving Federal Aviation Administration approval to scale up its 737 MAX production.

On the consumer front, Americans are already engaging in holiday shopping, though their approach is more budget-conscious this year. While overall holiday spending is not expected to decline significantly, consumers are likely to spend more time seeking out deals. Analysts note that shoppers are adopting a thrifty mindset, influenced by persistent price increases. Surveys suggest many have begun researching discounts well before Black Friday but are delaying purchases in anticipation of better bargains. The National Retail Federation (NRF) projects a 1.3% decrease in average spending on gifts, food, and decorations this November and December compared to the previous year. Industry experts, such as Andrew Waber from PMG, anticipate a unique holiday season marked by altered consumer purchasing behavior.

The current market landscape and consumer behavior highlight a dynamic economic environment. The resilience of stock futures and the continued strength of gold as a safe haven suggest investor confidence, albeit with an undercurrent of caution. The challenges faced by major tech players like Amazon, alongside the strategic maneuvers of companies like Cooper Cos. and the consumer shift towards more prudent holiday spending, underscore the constant evolution and adaptation required in today's economy. These trends emphasize the importance for businesses and individuals alike to remain agile and informed in navigating market fluctuations and changing consumer preferences.