Livestock Futures Plummet as Demand Wavers

Oct 15, 2024 at 8:29 PM
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Livestock Futures Tumble as Demand Wavers

The livestock futures markets experienced a significant downturn on Tuesday, with both cattle and hog contracts closing lower. The declines were attributed to a combination of overbought signals, sluggish direct cash trade, and spillover effects from the broader market movements.

Navigating the Volatile Livestock Landscape

Cattle Futures Slide Amid Overbought Signals

The Chicago Mercantile Exchange saw live and feeder cattle futures take a sharp dive, with December live cattle closing $1.40 lower at $186.52 and February live cattle closing $1.30 lower at $187.40. Similarly, November feeder cattle closed $3.10 lower at $246.47, and January feeder cattle closed $3.37 lower at $244.22. Analysts attributed these declines to overbought signals, as the market awaited more concrete developments in the direct cash cattle trade.The direct cash cattle market remained relatively quiet on Tuesday, with bids proving elusive. Asking prices were noted at $189 to $190 live in the South, but no firm trade had been established in the North. Industry experts anticipate a significant volume of trade to materialize later in the week, potentially on Thursday or Friday.At the Tri-State Livestock Auction in Nebraska, the market dynamics were mixed. Steers under 550 pounds were $2 to $9 lower, while those over 550 pounds were $2 to $8 higher. Heifers under 500 pounds saw a $5 to $12 increase, while heifers over 500 pounds were $4 to $7 lower. The USDA reported that demand was good to moderate, with receipts down on both a weekly and yearly basis. The feeder supply consisted of 72% steers, with 28% of the offering weighing over 600 pounds.

Boxed Beef Closes Higher, Hog Futures Decline

In the boxed beef market, Choice cuts closed $3.51 higher at $316.83, and Select cuts closed $2.99 higher at $292.09. The Choice-Select spread stood at $24.74. Estimated cattle slaughter for the day was 125,000 head, up 1,000 from the previous week but down more than 2,000 compared to the same period last year.On the hog front, lean hog futures ended the day lower, with December contracts closing $0.57 lower at $75.22 and February contracts closing $0.52 lower at $79.30. The decline was attributed to a weak midday move in pork prices and the spillover effect from the sharp drop in cattle futures.Cash hog prices, however, closed sharply higher, with processors being more aggressive in their procurement efforts to secure the necessary numbers. The U.S. pork industry continues to benefit from strong global demand, providing some price support, although there is lingering uncertainty about domestic demand. Barrows and gilts at the National Daily Direct were $2.33 higher, with a base range of $73.50 to $79 and a weighted average of $76.80.

Pork Values Decline, Slaughter Numbers Dip

Pork values closed lower, down $0.57 at $94.40. Loins, picnics, hams, and butts were all lower, while ribs and bellies remained firm to higher. Estimated hog slaughter for the day was 487,000 head, down 3,000 from the previous week and approximately 6,500 lower compared to the same period last year.At the Midwest cash markets, butcher hog prices were steady at $60. In Illinois, slaughter sow prices were steady with moderate demand for moderate offerings, ranging from $56 to $68. Barrows and gilts were also steady, with moderate demand for moderate offerings, priced between $45 and $55. Boar prices ranged from $20 to $30 and $15 to $25.The livestock futures markets continue to navigate a complex and volatile landscape, with both cattle and hog contracts experiencing significant declines on Tuesday. As the industry monitors available supplies and global demand dynamics, market participants will be closely watching for any signs of stabilization or reversal in the coming days and weeks.