Is There Still Time to Buy These 2 Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks That Are Up 37% and 190%? @themotleyfool #stocks $NVDA $MSFT $INTC $AMD $QCOM

Sep 29, 2024 at 11:30 AM

Navigating the AI Investing Landscape: Opportunities and Challenges Ahead

The artificial intelligence (AI) revolution has undoubtedly transformed the technology landscape, and its impact on the stock market has been nothing short of remarkable. Numerous companies in this field have seen their shares soar, often by triple-digit percentages. However, as even the most casual observers know, this rapid growth can leave investors wondering whether it's too late to capitalize on the AI boom. This article delves into the nuances of two key AI-driven stocks, Microsoft (MSFT) and Nvidia (NVDA), providing insights on their potential inflection points and the considerations investors should keep in mind.

Navigating the AI Investing Landscape: Opportunities and Challenges Ahead

Microsoft: Riding the AI Wave, but at What Cost?

Microsoft's journey in the AI space has been nothing short of impressive. The company's Azure cloud platform has firmly established itself as the world's second-leading cloud provider, and it is now poised to reap the benefits of the AI tailwinds. With its robust technological capabilities and deep integration into the AI ecosystem, Microsoft appears well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for AI-powered solutions.However, as the company's market capitalization has surpassed the $3.2 trillion mark, investors must consider whether the stock's valuation can continue to justify its growth potential. Analysts estimate that Microsoft's earnings will rise by an average of 13% annually for the next three to five years, a remarkable feat for a company of its size. Yet, the stock's current trading at almost 33 times 2024 earnings estimates, with a price/earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio of nearly 2.4, raises concerns.While Microsoft's high-quality business and dominant market position may warrant a premium valuation, the risk of a steep price retreat looms if the company's growth falls short of expectations. Investors should tread carefully and consider the potential downside risks before adding more shares to their portfolios, especially after the stock's impressive run-up over the past year.

Nvidia: Riding the AI Wave, but at What Cost?

Nvidia's role in the AI revolution has been nothing short of pivotal. The company's AI chips have become the de facto standard, powering the groundbreaking ChatGPT platform and cementing its dominance in the AI chip market. This dominance has translated into impressive financial results, with revenue for the first two quarters of fiscal 2025 (ended July 28) surging by 171% year-over-year, and net income skyrocketing by 284%.However, the stock's meteoric rise, fueled by the AI boom, has also driven its valuation into the stratosphere. Nvidia's trailing 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 58 and a staggering price-to-sales ratio of 32 have raised concerns among investors. Furthermore, the company's price-to-book-value ratio of 52 is more than 10 times that of its closest competitor, AMD, suggesting that the stock may be overvalued.The high expectations and lofty valuations have left Nvidia with little room for error. The company must deliver near-perfect earnings reports to justify its current share price, a challenging feat even for a market leader like Nvidia. While the long-term growth prospects for the AI chip industry remain promising, with Allied Market Research estimating a compound annual growth rate of 38% through 2032, the near-term outlook for Nvidia's stock remains uncertain.Investors should exercise caution and refrain from adding Nvidia shares until the company's valuation becomes more reasonable. The AI revolution may continue to drive the company's growth, but the current stock price may not be sustainable in the face of any potential missteps or market volatility.