Is Alphabet Stock a Buy Now? @themotleyfool #stocks $GOOGL $GOOG

Sep 28, 2024 at 1:20 PM

Alphabet's Dominance: A Decade of Unparalleled Growth

Alphabet (GOOGL 0.75%) (GOOG 0.89%), the parent company of the tech giant Google, has been a force to be reckoned with in the technology industry over the past decade. Despite a 16% gain in 2024 (as of Sept. 24), the company's stock has underperformed the broader Nasdaq Composite Index. However, when viewed through a longer lens, Alphabet's performance has been nothing short of remarkable, crushing the overall market. With shares currently trading 15% off their peak, savvy investors may find a rare opportunity to add this perennial winner to their portfolios.

Unlocking the Potential of Alphabet's Dominance

Riding the Wave of Secular Trends

Alphabet's success can be attributed to its strategic positioning within several powerful secular trends. As a leader in the digital advertising market, the company's Google Search service commands an impressive 90% market share worldwide, according to Statcounter. With billions of search queries conducted daily, Alphabet has effectively monetized this attention, positioning itself for continued growth as the digital advertising industry is estimated to expand by more than 15% per year through the rest of the decade.Furthermore, Alphabet's ownership of YouTube, the most popular streaming platform in the U.S. in terms of daily TV viewership, places it at the forefront of the ongoing shift towards streaming services. As more households opt to ditch traditional cable subscriptions in favor of the convenience and cost-effectiveness of streaming, YouTube's viewership is poised to surge, driving increased ad revenue for the business.

Capitalizing on the Cloud Computing Boom

Alphabet's diversification extends beyond digital advertising and streaming, as the company has also made significant strides in the cloud computing space. Google Cloud, the third-leading cloud platform globally, behind Amazon Web Services and Microsoft Azure, has demonstrated impressive growth, posting a 29% year-over-year revenue increase in Q2. Even more impressive, Google Cloud generated $1.2 billion in operating income, translating to an 11% margin.Despite Alphabet's massive $85 billion in second-quarter sales, the company's solid growth trajectory is expected to continue, with Wall Street consensus analyst estimates calling for top-line gains of 11.7% per year between 2023 and 2026. This double-digit outlook is particularly encouraging given the sheer size of Alphabet's operations.

Unparalleled Financial Strength

Alphabet's investment appeal extends beyond its impressive growth prospects, as the company also boasts a robust financial standing. Over the past five years, Alphabet has maintained an exceptional operating margin of 26.6%, showcasing its profitability and efficiency. This financial performance has enabled the company to generate substantial free cash flow, which management has historically used to repurchase outstanding shares.Moreover, Alphabet's balance sheet is pristine, with $101 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, significantly outweighing its $13 billion in long-term debt. This financial strength provides Alphabet with the resources to invest aggressively in cutting-edge initiatives, such as artificial intelligence, further solidifying its competitive edge.

Attractive Valuation

Despite Alphabet's dominance and impressive financial profile, the stock currently trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 21, representing a substantial 27% discount to the broader Nasdaq-100. This valuation discrepancy is not easily justified, given Alphabet's robust growth prospects and financial stability.Investors should not overlook this opportunity. By adding Alphabet to their portfolios and holding the stock for the next three to five years, they can capitalize on the company's continued growth and market leadership, positioning themselves for potentially outsized returns.