Goldman recommends these energy stocks to play the slump in crude oil

Sep 12, 2024 at 11:02 AM

Navigating the Oil Slump: Uncovering Opportunities for Savvy Investors

The recent sharp decline in crude oil prices has sent shockwaves through the energy sector, driving down the value of energy stocks. However, this pullback also presents a unique opportunity for investors to gain exposure to high-quality companies that can weather the storm and potentially emerge stronger. Goldman Sachs, a leading financial institution, has identified several promising options for those looking to capitalize on the current market conditions.

Unlocking Value in the Energy Sector Amidst Volatility

Exploring the U.S. Majors: ConocoPhillips Stands Out

The U.S. major oil companies, known for their integrated operations spanning exploration, production, refining, and marketing, have been hit hard by the recent oil price slump. However, Goldman Sachs sees particular value in ConocoPhillips, a company that has demonstrated a strong commitment to shareholder returns. With its robust asset base, solid balance sheet, and strategic focus on returning capital to investors, ConocoPhillips is poised to weather the current period of heightened uncertainty and volatility in the energy market.Conoco's share price has declined by 9.7% this month and 11.5% year-to-date, presenting a potential buying opportunity for investors. The investment bank's analysts have set an average stock price target of $139, implying a potential upside of nearly 37% from the current trading level of $102.57 per share.

Tapping into Independent Producers: Talos Energy's Promising Outlook

Among the independent oil and gas producers, Goldman Sachs favors Talos Energy, citing the company's strong earnings execution. While Talos recently announced the departure of its CEO, Tim Duncan, the investment bank remains optimistic about the company's prospects.Talos's share price has declined by 5.9% this month and 24% year-to-date, creating a potential entry point for investors. The Street's average price target of $18 on Talos suggests a nearly 70% upside from the current trading level of $10.84 per share.

Capitalizing on Natural Gas: EQT Corp's Promising Free Cash Flow Potential

In the natural gas space, Goldman Sachs has identified EQT Corp as a standout, with the potential to generate the highest free cash flow yield in 2026 based on the investment bank's forecast for mid-cycle natural gas prices of $3.50 per million BTUs (MMBtu).While natural gas prices may still face near-term weakness, the spot price is believed to be closer to the bottom. Increasing power demand and the expanding use of liquified natural gas are expected to provide support for natural gas prices in the coming years. EQT's share price has dipped by nearly 2% this month and 15% year-to-date, presenting a potential opportunity for investors.The Street's average target price of $43 on EQT represents a return of 31% from the current trading level of $32.88 per share, making the company an attractive proposition for those seeking exposure to the natural gas market.

Navigating the Volatility: Strategies for Savvy Investors

The recent oil price slump has undoubtedly created challenges for energy companies and their investors. However, as Goldman Sachs has highlighted, this period of volatility also presents opportunities for those willing to take a strategic approach.By focusing on high-quality companies with strong asset bases, solid balance sheets, and the ability to withstand market fluctuations, investors can potentially capitalize on the current market conditions. Companies like ConocoPhillips, Talos Energy, and EQT Corp offer compelling investment cases, with the potential to deliver attractive returns in the long run.As the energy landscape continues to evolve, staying informed and nimble will be crucial for investors seeking to navigate the complexities of the oil and gas industry. By carefully evaluating the fundamentals and growth prospects of these companies, savvy investors can position themselves to weather the storm and potentially reap the rewards of a market recovery.