Global Stock Market Turmoil: Ukraine's Missile Strike and Putin's Nuclear Doctrine

Nov 19, 2024 at 4:08 PM
Global stock markets faced a significant downturn as reports emerged of Ukraine firing a US-made long-range missile into Russia for the first time. This event triggered a series of reactions in the financial markets and led to increased geopolitical tensions. Vladimir Putin's approval of changes to Moscow's nuclear doctrine further added to the uncertainty.

"The Ripple Effect of Ukraine's Missile Strike on Global Markets"

Impact on Stock Markets

Investors rushed to safe-haven currencies such as the US dollar, the Japanese yen, and the Swiss franc. The Stoxx 600 share index dropped over 1% to its lowest since August, indicating the widespread concern among investors. In Britain, the FTSE 100 index was down 0.5% in afternoon trading, approaching the three-month low hit last week. New York also opened in the red, with the Dow Jones industrial average dropping by 0.8% and the broader S&P 500 losing 0.4%. The Chicago Board Options Exchange's CBOE Volatility Index jumped by almost 10%, highlighting the increased market volatility.This turmoil in the stock markets was mainly driven by the fear of how Russia would respond to Ukraine's missile strike. President Vladimir Putin's approval of an updated nuclear doctrine broadened the conditions under which Russia might deploy nuclear weapons, including in response to a large-scale conventional attack on its territory. As a result, markets were "rattled," and the euro was particularly affected.

Foreign Exchange Markets

In the foreign exchange markets, the pound slipped by a third of a cent against the US dollar to $1.265. The euro also lost 0.25% against the Swiss franc and the dollar. These movements showed the heightened uncertainty and the search for safe-haven currencies in times of geopolitical tension."Geopolitical does not matter for financial markets until it does," said Brad Bechtel, global head of FX at Jefferies. "When US equipment is striking Russia and Russia mentions nuclear, you have to pay attention." This statement emphasizes the importance of geopolitical events in influencing financial markets.

Other Factors Affecting Markets

UK, US, and eurozone governments became popular safe-havens, which pushed down the yield or interest rate on the debt. This shows that investors were seeking stability in government bonds during these uncertain times.Investors were also unsettled by the mysterious severing of two undersea cables in the Baltic. The German defence minister, Boris Pistorius, suspected sabotage. These events added to the overall sense of uncertainty and instability in the markets.There are also signs that the market rally prompted by Donald Trump's election win two weeks ago has fizzled out, leading to a drop in share prices at the end of last week. Analysts have pointed out that the president-elect's policies on trade tariffs and mass deportations of illegal immigrants would cause disruption to some industries and push up prices.In conclusion, the events in Ukraine and the changes in Moscow's nuclear doctrine have had a significant impact on global stock markets and foreign exchange markets. The uncertainty and geopolitical tensions continue to dominate the financial landscape, and investors are closely watching for any further developments.