Financials have been on fire lately. These stocks are expected to fly higher from here

Sep 11, 2024 at 7:09 PM

Unlocking the Potential: Financials Poised for Breakout Gains

The financial sector has been on a remarkable run, outpacing the broader market and offering investors a promising opportunity. With the Federal Reserve's anticipated rate cut on the horizon, analysts are optimistic that banks and other financial institutions could see a significant boost in the coming months. As the market navigates a challenging period, a closer look at the top-performing financials stocks reveals a compelling investment landscape.

Seizing the Moment: Financials Outshine the Market

Sector Surge Defies Market Headwinds

The S&P 500 financial sector has been on a remarkable run, advancing more than 16% so far this year and nearly 4% over the past month. This impressive performance has come during a period of broader market volatility, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both down more than 2% in September. The financial sector's outperformance can be attributed to a combination of factors, including the anticipated Federal Reserve rate cut and the sector's ability to weather economic challenges.

Rate Cut Catalyst: Boosting Bank Profits

The impending Federal Reserve rate cut has been a significant driver of optimism in the financial sector. Historically, lower interest rates have provided a boost to banks, as they can benefit from the widening of their net interest margins. According to Wells Fargo's analysis, banks typically experience an average 6% decline in the week following the first rate cut of a cycle, but then go on to see a 21% surge from that low point. This pattern suggests that the financial sector could be poised for a strong rebound in the coming months, as the Fed's actions are expected to provide a tailwind for the industry.

Navigating Regulatory Risks: Adapting to the Changing Landscape

While the financial sector has faced its fair share of regulatory challenges in recent years, analysts believe that these risks are now more priced into the market. The recent pullback in some financial stocks, such as Wells Fargo, has created an attractive entry point for investors, as the market has seemingly accounted for the increased regulatory scrutiny. As the industry continues to adapt to the evolving regulatory environment, the ability of financial institutions to navigate these changes could be a key factor in their future performance.

Diversification Drives Growth: Expanding Beyond Traditional Banking

The financial sector is also benefiting from the efforts of companies to diversify their business models and expand beyond traditional banking. For example, KKR, the private equity giant, has been actively pursuing acquisitions and diversifying its asset management capabilities. The company's recent acquisition of Global Atlantic, as well as its growing list of alternative assets, have positioned it for continued growth. Analysts are optimistic about KKR's ability to capitalize on these strategic initiatives and drive long-term value for shareholders.

Analyst Consensus: Financials Poised for Upside

The CNBC Pro Stock Screener tool has identified several financial stocks that are well-liked by analysts and expected to deliver strong performance going forward. These include KKR, Wells Fargo, and Bank of America, all of which have received buy ratings from analysts and are expected to see upside of at least 10% based on their average price targets.The financial sector's recent outperformance, coupled with the anticipated benefits of a Federal Reserve rate cut and the industry's ability to adapt to regulatory changes, suggest that the stage is set for financials to continue their breakout run. As investors navigate the current market environment, a closer look at the top-performing stocks in this sector could uncover compelling opportunities for growth and value creation.