Navigating the Fantasy Football Landscape: Identifying Potential Busts and Sleepers in Week 3

As the NFL season progresses, fantasy football managers face the constant challenge of making crucial start/sit decisions. With the third week of the season upon us, it's time to take a closer look at six players who could be potential busts, as well as a sleeper option that may be worth considering. From high-profile quarterbacks to emerging running backs and wide receivers, this comprehensive analysis aims to provide you with the insights needed to make informed lineup choices and gain an edge in your fantasy leagues.

Uncovering the Hidden Risks: Potential Busts to Avoid in Week 3

Justin Herbert: The Chargers' Passing Game Conundrum

Despite being one of the league's top quarterbacks, Justin Herbert finds himself in a precarious situation this week. The Chargers' offensive coordinators, Greg Roman and Arthur Smith, appear to be prioritizing a ground-and-pound approach, which could significantly limit Herbert's passing volume. Through the first two weeks, the Chargers have the second-lowest pass-play rate in the NFL at just 42.9%, indicating a clear shift towards a more run-heavy offense. This matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers, another team with a low passing rate, suggests a potential low-scoring affair where the focus will be on establishing the run game. As a result, fantasy managers should consider benching Herbert in favor of streaming options like Geno Smith or Deshaun Watson, who may offer more upside in Week 3.

James Conner: Facing a Stout Lions Run Defense

James Conner has been a consistent performer for the Arizona Cardinals, but he may face a tougher challenge this week against the Detroit Lions. The Lions' defense has shown its strength against the run, allowing just 3.3 yards per attempt and -0.9 rush yards over expectation per carry, according to NFL Next Gen Stats. This could force the Cardinals to rely more on the passing game, potentially limiting Conner's opportunities. While Conner remains a must-start in most leagues, fantasy managers should temper their expectations and view him as more of an RB2 with touchdown upside this week.

The Dallas Cowboys Backfield: A Murky Situation

The Dallas Cowboys' running game has been a disappointment so far this season, with neither Ezekiel Elliott nor Rico Dowdle emerging as a clear lead back. Both players have struggled to find consistent production, averaging just 3.5 and 3.7 yards per carry, respectively. In Week 3, the Cowboys will face a formidable Baltimore Ravens defensive line, further complicating the situation. Fantasy managers should avoid this backfield entirely, as the uncertainty and lack of efficiency make it a risky proposition, even for desperate lineup decisions.

Michael Pittman Jr.: Struggling to Find His Rhythm

Michael Pittman Jr., a highly-drafted wide receiver, has been a disappointment through the first two weeks of the season. With just 52 receiving yards total, Pittman's production has left fantasy managers frustrated. The primary issue seems to be the volatility of the Indianapolis Colts' passing game, as quarterback Anthony Richardson has struggled with short and intermediate throws, where Pittman thrives. Despite Pittman's high-end talent, his current fantasy output does not justify a starting spot, and fantasy managers should consider benching him until he can prove his worth on the field.

Dolphins Passing Attack: Skylar Thompson's Limitations

The Miami Dolphins' passing attack faces a significant challenge this week, as they will be without starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. Backup Skylar Thompson is expected to take the reins, and his limited experience and subpar efficiency could negatively impact the fantasy production of star receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. Thompson has averaged just 5.0 yards per pass attempt in games where he has played at least 25% of the offensive snaps, a concerning statistic. While Hill and Waddle possess the talent to overcome poor quarterback play, fantasy managers should temper their expectations and consider alternative options if possible.

Brycen Hopkins: Facing a Tough 49ers Defense

Brycen Hopkins has emerged as a potential streaming option at tight end, stepping up in the absence of the injured Tyler Higbee. However, Hopkins faces a daunting task this week against the San Francisco 49ers' stifling defense. The 49ers have been particularly effective at limiting production from opposing tight ends, allowing just 3 catches for 18 yards to the position through the first two weeks. Additionally, linebacker Fred Warner, one of the league's best in coverage, will likely be tasked with containing Hopkins. While Hopkins' volume may be enticing, the matchup presents significant challenges, and fantasy managers should consider other streaming options if possible.