Disney investors are glued to CEO succession outcome: Goldman Sachs analyst

Sep 10, 2024 at 10:11 PM

Disney's CEO Succession: A High-Stakes Game of Talent and Strategy

The search for Disney's (DIS) next CEO has become a hot-button issue for institutional investors, as the company navigates a shifting landscape and faces critical decisions that will shape its future. With Bob Iger's return to the helm, the spotlight is on the deep bench of talented executives vying for the coveted position, each bringing unique strengths and perspectives to the table.

Navigating the Complexities of Disney's Succession Planning

Investor Scrutiny and the Importance of Continuity

Institutional investors are closely watching the succession planning process at Disney, recognizing its profound impact on the company's strategic direction. As Goldman Sachs analyst Michael Ng points out, "When I talk to investors, succession planning is incredibly important because it dictates the strategy of the company." The past few years have seen some missteps in the film and TV studio divisions, leading to market share losses, underscoring the need for a seamless transition and a steady hand at the helm.

Assessing the Talent Pool: Disney's Deep Bench of Executives

Disney boasts an impressive depth of talent across its various business lines, from theme parks and film studios to ESPN. Ng highlights this, noting, "They have an incredibly deep, deep bench of talented executives across each of their business lines." The four internal candidates reportedly being considered for the CEO role – Dana Walden and Alan Bergman (co-heads of the entertainment division), Josh D'Amaro (head of the parks division), and Jimmy Pitaro (chairman of ESPN) – each bring unique strengths and experiences to the table.

The Potential for an External Candidate

While the internal candidates are seen as frontrunners, the company could also opt for an outside hire, potentially bringing in a fresh perspective and new ideas to drive Disney's growth. This decision will be closely watched by investors, as it could signal a significant shift in the company's strategic direction.

Timing and the Iger Factor

The timeline for the CEO succession is also a point of interest, with Bob Iger's return in November 2022 adding an additional layer of complexity. As Iger's close adviser and Candle Media co-founder Kevin Mayer suggests, "I think we may know this year, but [Bob Iger] has two and a half more years. So it wouldn't surprise me if it is extended a little bit beyond this calendar year into next calendar year."

Navigating Challenging Operating Conditions

The CEO search is taking place against the backdrop of more challenging operating conditions for Disney. The company's recent second-quarter earnings report highlighted a late-quarter slowdown in its theme park business, with CFO Hugh Johnston acknowledging that "consumers are watching their pennies a little bit more." This shift in consumer behavior underscores the need for the next CEO to navigate these turbulent waters effectively.

Positioning for Long-Term Success

Despite the near-term challenges, there are several longer-term positives that could bolster Disney's position under the next CEO's leadership. Analyst Michael Ng points to the company's potential to be one of the few media giants with a large-scale streaming video business, as well as its strong portfolio of marquee sports rights, many of which are locked up through the end of the decade.As Disney's board of directors deliberates on the succession plan, the stakes are high, and the decision will undoubtedly shape the company's trajectory for years to come. The next CEO will be tasked with building on Disney's rich legacy, navigating the evolving media landscape, and positioning the company for sustained growth and success in the years ahead.