China's Stimulus Measures Disappoint Investors, Sending Stocks Lower
Nov 8, 2024 at 2:23 AM
After the market closed, China unveiled an increase in the quota for local special bonds by 6 trillion yuan (US$838.1 billion) over the next three years. Futures fell when the plan was announced by Xu Hongcai, vice-chairman of the National People's Congress' financial and economic committee, signalling that investor expectations were not met.
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Investors Underwhelmed by China's Stimulus Announcement
The announcement of China's plan to increase the quota for local special bonds by 6 trillion yuan over the next three years was met with a lukewarm response from investors. The Hang Seng Index and the Tech Index both declined, with US-listed Chinese stocks like Alibaba and JD.com also trading lower. This suggests that the market was expecting a more substantial stimulus package to address the country's economic challenges.The reaction from Louis Wong, executive director of Phillip Capital Management (Hong Kong), highlights the sentiment among investors. He noted that the announcement "may reflect that investors are somehow disappointed with the stimulus-package announcement, which mainly focuses on addressing provincial governments' hidden debt problems." This suggests that the market was hoping for a more comprehensive set of measures to boost economic growth, rather than a focus on addressing local government debt issues.Sector-Specific Impacts: Property Developers and Tech Firms Suffer
The impact of the disappointing stimulus announcement was felt across various sectors of the Chinese market. Property developers were among the hardest hit, with Longfor Group, China Overseas Land and Investments, and China Resources Land all posting significant declines. This reflects the ongoing challenges facing the real estate sector in China, which has been grappling with a slowdown in sales and tighter regulatory measures.The tech sector also felt the pinch, with NetEase and Meituan both experiencing substantial drops. This underscores the broader concerns about the regulatory environment and the potential impact on the growth prospects of China's tech giants. Investors are likely closely monitoring the developments in this sector, as any further regulatory actions could have a significant impact on the performance of these companies.Uncertainty Surrounding U.S. Trade Policy Adds to Investor Caution
The uncertainty surrounding the trade policies of the incoming U.S. administration under President-elect Donald Trump is also contributing to the cautious sentiment among investors. Carlos Casanova, an economist at UBP, a Swiss private bank, suggests that Beijing may hold off on any further actions until the details of Trump's tariff plans become clearer.This uncertainty is adding to the already challenging economic environment in China, as the country navigates the ongoing trade tensions with the United States. Investors are likely to remain cautious until there is more clarity on the direction of U.S. trade policy and its potential impact on China's economy.Overall, the market's reaction to China's stimulus announcement highlights the need for a more comprehensive and impactful set of measures to address the country's economic challenges. Investors are closely watching for any further developments that could provide more clarity and boost confidence in the Chinese market.