The Big 12's decision to withhold clarifying tiebreaker scenarios from media members prior to Arizona State's game with BYU on Saturday has sparked much intrigue. The complexity of these tiebreakers was evident then and remains so even after a week of games. Let's delve into the details.
FanDuel Sportsbook's Odds and the Sun Devils' Chances
Currently, FanDuel Sportsbook has the Sun Devils as the odds favorite at +135 to win the Big 12 Championship Game. This is mainly because they have the best shot of making it to the game in the first place. Despite being among the nine teams still in contention, ASU holds a 6 - 2 conference record, topping the league. BYU, Iowa State, and Colorado also have the same record, while five more teams are just a game behind at 5 - 3, including Kansas State, Baylor, TCU, Texas Tech, and West Virginia.For any of the 5 - 3 teams to have a shot at the title game, they must win and see at least three of the 6 - 2 teams lose. The Big 12 sent out a press release on Sunday with official tiebreakers, outlining specific scenarios where Arizona State could beat the Wildcats and still miss out on the title game at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. For example, if Houston beats BYU, Texas Tech beats West Virginia, Baylor drops Kansas, and Cincinnati defeats TCU, then the Sun Devils will be left out if Colorado and Iowa State also win. In betting odds terms, adding an ASU win to make that a seven - game parlay gives you +7739 odds according to FanDuel Sportsbook.Two - Team Tie
If two teams are tied at 7 - 2, they will be the Championship game participants. This provides a clear path for teams to advance if they can achieve this record.Three - Team Tie
In a three - team tie, various scenarios play out. If Colorado loses, it's Arizona State vs. Iowa State. If Arizona State loses, it's Iowa State vs. BYU. If Iowa State loses, it's Arizona State vs. BYU. And for BYU's loss scenarios, if Texas Tech defeats West Virginia, then if Baylor beats Kansas and Cincinnati beats TCU, it's Colorado vs. Iowa State; otherwise, it's Colorado vs. Arizona State. If West Virginia defeats Texas Tech, it's Arizona State vs. Iowa State.Four - Team Tie
When there is a four - team tie, Arizona State vs. Iowa State is the key matchup. Teams that are 5 - 3 entering the week must win and see at least three of the four 6 - 2 teams take a loss. This adds an extra layer of complexity and uncertainty to the title race.Big 12 Schedule for Title Game Contenders
Friday: Oklahoma State at No. 23 Colorado – 10 a.m. (ABC)Saturday: Kansas at Baylor – 10 a.m. (ESPN2), West Virginia at Texas Tech – 10 a.m. (FS1), No. 14 Arizona State at Arizona – 1:30 p.m. (FOX), TCU at Cincinnati – 4 p.m. (ESPN+), Kansas State at No. 17 Iowa State – 5:30 p.m. (FOX), Houston at No. 19 BYU – 8:15 p.m. (ESPN)All times are MST Arizona time.The Big 12 Championship odds as of Monday, Nov. 25 are as follows: Arizona State +135, Iowa State +260, BYU +320, Colorado +650, Baylor +12000, Kansas State +12000, Texas Tech +15000, TCU +15000, West Virginia +40000.Follow @kzimmermanaz to stay updated on all the latest developments in the Big 12.