Baird Elevates Wells Fargo's Stock Rating to Neutral

Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) recently received an elevated investment rating from Baird, moving from an "Underperform" to a "Neutral" stance. This adjustment reflects a more favorable outlook on the banking giant's stock, particularly after a period of decline. The financial institution showcased robust performance in the final quarter of 2025, with notable increases in earnings, primarily propelled by strategic loan growth. Looking ahead, Wells Fargo's management foresees sustained growth in its net interest income, projecting a positive trajectory despite potential interest rate fluctuations.

Baird Raises Wells Fargo's Outlook Amidst Strong Q4 Performance and Strategic Growth

On Monday, February 16, 2026, financial firm Baird announced an upgrade for Wells Fargo & Company (NYSE:WFC), shifting its rating to Neutral from Underperform. The target price remains at $85. This recalibration by Baird was influenced by the bank's recent stock performance, which saw an 8.2% year-to-date decline, rendering its risk-reward proposition more appealing. Discussions at prominent financial conferences, including the UBS Financial Services Conference on February 10 and the company's Q4 earnings announcement on January 14, further supported this re-evaluation of Wells Fargo's valuation.

Wells Fargo reported its fourth-quarter 2025 financial results on January 14, revealing a 5.6% year-over-year surge in net income, reaching $5.4 billion. Earnings per diluted share also climbed by 13.3% to $1.62. This impressive earnings growth led to a 52-basis-point improvement in the bank's return on average equity, settling at 12.3%.

The primary catalyst for this financial expansion was a 4.2% year-over-year increase in net interest income (NII), totaling $12.3 billion. This growth was largely fueled by a significant 8% year-over-year expansion in the bank's loan book, which reached $986.2 billion. Commercial loans played a pivotal role, growing by 12% to $599.9 billion, while consumer loans also saw a 2% increase. This substantial loan growth was underpinned by a 4.0% year-over-year rise in deposits, amounting to $1,426.2 billion.

Despite these gains, net interest margins (NIMs) experienced a slight contraction of 10 basis points, declining to 2.60%. This was attributed to a decrease in earning asset yields that outweighed improvements in funding costs. For the full year 2026, Wells Fargo's management anticipates a 5.2% year-over-year growth in net interest income, projecting to reach $50 billion. This forecast is based on mid-single-digit loan and deposit growth, with an acknowledgment that potential interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve could have a minor negative impact on NII. Wells Fargo, established in March 1852 and headquartered in San Francisco, California, is a leading diversified financial services institution.

The upgrade of Wells Fargo's stock rating highlights the dynamic nature of market perceptions and the importance of adapting investment strategies to evolving financial landscapes. It underscores how robust operational performance, particularly in core banking activities like loan growth and deposit accumulation, can positively influence investor sentiment. While market fluctuations and broader economic factors, such as central bank policies, continue to play a role, the bank's ability to maintain a positive outlook for net interest income is a testament to its strategic resilience. This development offers an encouraging perspective on the stability and potential growth within the financial sector, suggesting that even established institutions like Wells Fargo can present renewed opportunities for investors.