The recent rise in 10-year Treasury yields has sparked discussions about the Federal Reserve's cautious approach to interest rate cuts this year. This shift highlights the potential value of pairing active management with fixed income investments, particularly municipal bonds. With the devastating wildfires in Los Angeles, concerns have emerged regarding the stability of California’s municipal debt. The Golden State, being a significant issuer of municipal bonds, plays a crucial role in many passively managed ETFs. However, actively managed funds like the ALPS Intermediate Municipal Bond ETF (MNBD) offer greater flexibility by not being overly concentrated in bonds from large issuers such as California and New York.
Municipal bond experts are closely monitoring the financial impact of the wildfires, which is still uncertain. While the exact toll remains unknown, some believe that California or Los Angeles County might issue new bonds to fund reconstruction efforts. According to Cooper Howard of Charles Schwab, while the wildfires may affect some local issuers, the broader impact on the state’s or national muni market is likely limited. Active management can be advantageous here, as fund managers can adjust their portfolios based on current events. For instance, MNBD’s diversification allows it to mitigate risks associated with specific regions or issuers, providing investors with a more balanced exposure.
Amidst the potential risks in the municipal bond market, especially in California, active management becomes increasingly vital. Passive funds, constrained by their indexing approach, would find it challenging to avoid all bonds linked to fire-affected areas. With over 4,500 individual bonds outstanding in these regions, totaling $70 billion, the risk varies depending on each issuer’s financial health and revenue sources. Active managers can navigate these complexities, ensuring that investors remain protected. In conclusion, the ability to adapt and fine-tune exposures makes active management a prudent choice for navigating uncertainties in the municipal bond market.