Patch Notes #2: How does the game industry survive beyond 2025?

Aug 30, 2024 at 8:49 AM

Gamescom 2024: Charting a Path to Industry Resilience

Returning from Gamescom 2024, this editor embarks on a quest to uncover the industry's path forward, shedding light on the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead. Through insightful conversations with industry experts, a clear picture emerges of the steps needed to ensure the long-term sustainability and prosperity of the gaming landscape.

Resilience in the Face of Turbulence: Navigating the Industry's Road Ahead

Redefining the Developer's Role: From Lone Artist to Commercial Strategist

The industry's reliance on the "lone artist" mentality is no longer tenable. Developers must embrace a new reality, one where commercial literacy and understanding the industry's broader ecosystem are essential for long-term survival. Ustwo Games' lead producer, John Lau, emphasizes the need to address the "incentivization structures" that currently govern the industry, challenging developers to educate themselves on the commercial realities they face.Lau argues that ignoring these forces is no longer an option. "You cannot ignore the fact you're in a commercial industry. Therefore you must educate yourself. One has to build commercial literacy–among colleagues and co-workers." This shift in mindset is crucial, as developers can no longer afford to view themselves as mere creators, but as active participants in the industry's commercial landscape.

Sustainable Growth: Balancing Ambition and Prudence

Hooded Horse's chief product officer, Ashkan Namousi, stresses the importance of sustainable business practices as the foundation for longevity. He cautions against the temptation of "unfettered creativity and ambition" fueled by external stakeholders, as this can lead to unsustainable growth and eventual collapse.Namousi emphasizes the need for leaders to maintain a realistic and controlled approach, "Focus on being effective and creating new ideas for you and your company. Stay focused on 'what is the kind of game you're making? What is the target audience?' Don't just take any deal that comes your way." This disciplined approach, combined with a willingness to conduct "reality checks," can help studios avoid the perils of the industry's cyclical nature.

Weathering the Storm: Preparing for Inevitable Downturns

Atari CEO Wade Rosen cautions against the tendency to assume that the industry's fortunes will always remain bright. He encourages studios to "stash some cash away for a rainy day" rather than immediately reinvesting profits into new projects. This financial discipline is crucial, as it allows companies to weather the inevitable downturns without resorting to drastic measures like mass layoffs.Rosen also highlights the need to temper growth ambitions during periods of abundance, stating, "It's really looking more to the future than the past, and understanding that the past is not the most accurate predictor–especially the short term past." By maintaining a long-term perspective and a cautious approach to expansion, studios can better position themselves to survive the industry's cyclical nature.

Clarity Amidst Chaos: Staying True to Your Creative Vision

Glowmade co-founder Jonny Hopper emphasizes the importance of maintaining "clarity about your vision" during periods of industry upheaval. When faced with the allure of external funding and the pressure to rapidly scale, studios must remain steadfast in their commitment to their core creative objectives.Rebellion art director Ryan Greene echoes this sentiment, urging developers to "know what you want to make. How much time it will take to make. And the person power you'll need to make it. Make the game you can make, and not necessarily the game you want to make." By distilling the essence of their creative vision and resisting the temptation to overreach, studios can navigate the industry's volatility with a greater chance of success.

Unionization and Labor Dynamics: Embracing a New Era of Collective Bargaining

The ongoing saga surrounding Microsoft's acquisition of Activision Blizzard highlights the shifting labor dynamics within the industry. The Raven Software union's accusations of "bad faith bargaining" against Microsoft underscore the challenges that developers face in securing meaningful representation and voice within their workplaces.This evolving landscape presents both opportunities and obstacles for the industry's long-term sustainability. As developers increasingly organize and demand improved working conditions, studios must adapt to this new reality, fostering a culture of collaboration and open dialogue. Navigating these labor-related challenges will be crucial in establishing a more resilient and equitable industry.

Embracing the Unexpected: Adapting to Rapid Technological Advancements

The gaming industry's landscape is constantly in flux, with emerging technologies and evolving consumer preferences driving rapid change. The surprising success of indie title Black Myth: Wukong, which sold 10 million copies in a single week, serves as a testament to the industry's capacity for unexpected breakthroughs.As the industry grapples with the implications of AI, cloud gaming, and other transformative technologies, studios must remain agile and open to innovation. Embracing the unexpected and adapting quickly to the shifting tides will be crucial in maintaining a competitive edge and ensuring long-term resilience.

Nurturing a Culture of Inclusion and Accessibility

The industry's growing emphasis on accessible design, as exemplified by Xbox's initiatives, underscores the importance of building inclusive experiences. By prioritizing accessibility and ensuring that all players can engage with their creations, studios can foster a more vibrant and diverse gaming ecosystem.This approach not only benefits the players but also strengthens the industry as a whole. As Kaitlyn Jones and Chris Kujawski of Xbox noted, "a rising tide floats all boats" – the universal benefits of accessible design extend beyond individual studios, contributing to the industry's collective growth and resilience.