3 Speculative Tech Stocks That Could Go Parabolic @themotleyfool #stocks $ASTS $VZ $QS $LUNR

Sep 11, 2024 at 12:30 PM
Soaring Potential: Exploring the Promising Futures of AST SpaceMobile, Intuitive Machines, and QuantumScapeIn recent years, the rise of special purpose acquisition companies (SPACs) has brought a wave of speculative tech companies to the public market. While some of these stocks initially surged, many have since fizzled out as they failed to meet their pre-merger projections. However, as interest rates are poised to decline in the coming quarters, it may be time to revisit some of these SPAC-backed companies. This article delves into the potential of three such stocks - AST SpaceMobile, Intuitive Machines, and QuantumScape - which could soar as the macro environment becomes more favorable.

Unlocking the Skies: The Promising Future of AST SpaceMobile

Revolutionizing Cellular Connectivity from Space

AST SpaceMobile is pioneering the development of low-Earth orbit (LEO) satellites to provide lower-band cellular connections, a game-changing technology that could bridge the gap in rural and underserved areas. The company's recent launch of its first BlueWalker 3 prototype satellite in 2022 and the upcoming launch of its first five Block 1 BlueBird (BB1) commercial satellites on September 12th mark significant milestones. With major telecom players like AT&T and Verizon already signing LEO cellular agreements with AST, the company is poised to take a leading role in the rapidly growing global LEO satellite market.

Soaring Projections and Valuation Potential

AST SpaceMobile's stock has already rallied an impressive 570% over the past 12 months, reflecting the market's anticipation of the company's BB1 launch. However, analysts believe the stock could climb even higher as AST expands its LEO satellite networks to cover more rural and underserved areas. According to projections, the company's revenue is expected to surge at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 684%, from $6.4 million in 2024 to $393.2 million in 2026. While the company's current enterprise value of $4.1 billion may seem pricey at 10 times its projected 2026 sales, the global LEO satellite market is poised to grow at a CAGR of 14% from 2024 to 2030, providing ample room for AST to capitalize on this expanding opportunity.

Reaching for the Moon: Intuitive Machines' Lunar Ambitions

Pioneering Lunar Exploration and Payload Delivery

Intuitive Machines, another speculative space stock, has made significant strides in the development of lunar landers and exploration vehicles. The company's NOVA-C lunar lander successfully landed on the Moon in February 2023, marking America's first successful Moon landing since 1972. Intuitive Machines' recent win of a new lunar terrain vehicle (LTV) contract from NASA further solidifies its position as a key player in the burgeoning lunar exploration market. Beyond its NASA contracts, the company is also expanding its commercial "ridesharing" business, delivering third-party payloads to the Moon.

Scaling Up for Exponential Growth

Intuitive Machines' financial performance is expected to undergo a significant transformation, with analysts projecting an 81% CAGR in revenue from $79.5 million in 2024 to $474.6 million in 2026. While these estimates should be taken with a grain of salt, the company's current enterprise value of $317 million, less than one times its next year's sales, suggests that the stock may be undervalued. If NASA continues to ramp up its spending on new lunar missions, Intuitive Machines' sales and valuations could soar, making it an intriguing investment opportunity.

Powering the Future: QuantumScape's Solid-State Battery Revolution

Overcoming the Limitations of Lithium-Ion Batteries

QuantumScape, a pioneering developer of solid-state batteries, is poised to disrupt the electric vehicle (EV) industry. Solid-state batteries, which generate power from solid electrolytes instead of the liquid electrolytes used in lithium-ion batteries, offer several advantages, including higher energy density, faster charging times, and improved temperature resistance. QuantumScape's latest batteries can reportedly provide EVs with a range of 400 to 500 miles, significantly exceeding the current average of 300 miles, while also reducing charging times to less than 15 minutes.

Volkswagen's Backing and the Path to Commercialization

Despite the company's lack of revenue this year, QuantumScape's business model is bolstered by its strong partnership with Volkswagen. The German automaker has been working with QuantumScape for over a decade and has already conducted several road tests with the company's batteries. Analysts expect QuantumScape's revenue to reach $5.4 million in 2025 and $19.1 million in 2026 as it begins to commercialize its first solid-state battery products. While the company's current enterprise value of $1.97 billion may seem high at more than 100 times its projected 2026 sales, the potential for solid-state batteries to replace lithium-ion batteries in the EV market could propel QuantumScape's growth and make it an attractive takeover target for Volkswagen or other major automakers.