3 cheap areas of the stock market to buy as the Fed unveils a ‘rare double whammy’ of stimulus, BofA says

Sep 30, 2024 at 5:06 PM

Unlocking the Power of Value Stocks: A Rare Opportunity Amid Shifting Market Dynamics

In a surprising turn of events, the Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates while corporate profits continue to grow has created a unique opportunity for investors, according to Bank of America. This "rare double whammy of stimulus," as described by the firm's head of US equity and strategy, Savita Subramanian, presents a compelling case for investors to snap up value stocks in specific sectors.

Seizing the Moment: A Timely Opportunity for Savvy Investors

The Allure of Value Stocks in a Shifting Market

Value stocks, which are trading below their intrinsic worth, have historically outperformed when profits rise and rates fall. This is because investors become less concerned about hedging and are more inclined to embrace higher-upside names that have fallen out of favor. Bank of America believes that this dynamic is currently unfolding, creating a favorable environment for value-oriented investments.

Subramanian explains that as the Federal Reserve's cutting cycle pulls down short-term yields, money market investors will seek new sources of income. This transition is expected to benefit dividend-yielding stocks, as investors search for stable and reliable income streams. Real estate, in particular, has seen a significant increase in dividend yields since the 2008 financial crisis, making it an attractive option for income-seeking investors.

Furthermore, Subramanian notes that neither retail nor institutional investors appear to have fully adjusted to the value trend so far, with portfolios still skewed more towards long-term growth stocks and defensive exposure. This suggests that there is still untapped potential in the value sector, as the market has yet to fully price in the benefits of the current economic conditions.

Sectors Poised for Outperformance

According to Bank of America, three specific sectors are worth pursuing for investors seeking to capitalize on the value opportunity: real estate, financials, and energy.

The real estate sector is expected to benefit from Wall Street's massive investment in data centers, a critical infrastructure component for the artificial intelligence buildout. While the office space segment remains troubled, Subramanian believes this exposure is not worth fretting about, as the sector's overall quality and income potential outweigh the concerns.

The financials sector has undergone a transformation since the 2008 crisis, emerging as a higher-quality industry with a stronger focus on cash return and free cash flow generation. Similarly, the energy sector has also "righted itself" and is now poised to offer attractive value opportunities.

Citi's US equity strategist, Scott Chronert, has also highlighted financials and energy as sectors worth considering, describing the latter as a "contrarian opportunity" for investors.

Monitoring the Materials Sector

In addition to the three primary sectors, Bank of America's Subramanian suggests that investors should also monitor the materials sector. The recent blowout rally in China, sparked by Beijing's new stimulus measures, has caught the attention of hedge funds, who appear skeptical about the sustainability of the trend.

Subramanian believes that this could be the start of a longer-term story, and investors should keep a close eye on the materials sector as it may present additional value opportunities in the coming months.

Overall, the current market dynamics, characterized by the Federal Reserve's rate cuts and continued corporate profit growth, have created a unique opportunity for investors to capitalize on value stocks in select sectors. By focusing on real estate, financials, energy, and potentially the materials sector, savvy investors can position themselves to benefit from this "rare double whammy of stimulus" and potentially outperform the broader market.