2 Stocks Down 78% and 88% That Wall Street Is Overlooking — but I’m Not @themotleyfool #stocks $PYPL $META $INTU $SHOP $PINS $KIND

Sep 16, 2024 at 10:11 AM

Uncovering Hidden Gems: Two Overlooked Stocks Poised for Explosive Growth

In the ever-evolving landscape of the stock market, it's easy to get caught up in the hype surrounding high-profile tech giants. However, savvy investors know that some of the most promising opportunities can be found in stocks that have flown under the radar. This article shines a light on two such stocks, PayPal and Nextdoor, which have the potential to deliver remarkable long-term returns for those willing to look beyond the mainstream.

Unlocking the Potential of Overlooked Stocks

Revitalizing a Payments Giant: PayPal's Transformation

PayPal (PYPL) has long been a dominant player in the digital payments space, but in recent years, the company has faced stagnation in its user base and a lack of a clear growth strategy. However, a major leadership overhaul has set the stage for a remarkable turnaround. The appointment of former Intuit executive Alex Chriss as the new CEO, coupled with a complete revamp of the executive team, has injected a renewed sense of energy and purpose into the company.The early signs of this transformation are already evident. In the second quarter, PayPal reported an impressive 11% year-over-year growth in total payment volume, and a 36% increase in adjusted earnings per share. This was driven by a focus on efficiency and a slight sequential increase in active accounts, thanks to lower customer churn. The company has also made strategic moves to bolster its position, such as expanding its partnership with Shopify for payments in the U.S., launching a large advertising campaign to promote the PayPal Debit Mastercard, and introducing the PayPal Everywhere expanded rewards program.Despite these positive developments, the market has not yet fully recognized the potential of PayPal's transformation. The stock trades at a mere 15 times forward earnings, despite the company's substantial net cash position, over $5 billion in annual free cash flow, and a loyal user base. This suggests that the market is undervaluing the company's long-term prospects, presenting a compelling opportunity for investors willing to look beyond the surface.

Nextdoor: The Overlooked Social Media Gem

When it comes to social media stocks, the spotlight is often dominated by the likes of Meta Platforms (Facebook) and Pinterest. However, Nextdoor (KIND) is a lesser-known player in the space that deserves closer attention. This community-based social network has a significant presence, with one out of every three U.S. households using the platform, yet it remains largely overlooked by the investment community.Nextdoor's journey to the public markets was not without its challenges, as the company went public during the 2021 SPAC boom, a period that saw many companies struggle to maintain their initial share price. However, the recent return of co-founder Nirav Tolia to the CEO role has brought a renewed focus on efficiency and responsible growth, two areas that had not been prioritized by previous leadership.The results of this shift in strategy are already starting to show. In the second quarter, Nextdoor reported accelerated growth in weekly active users, revenue, and adjusted EBITDA margin. This turnaround has led the company to project 11% year-over-year revenue growth for 2024, as well as an adjusted EBITDA loss that is less than half of 2023's. Furthermore, Nextdoor's strong financial position, with over $450 million in cash and no debt, coupled with an aggressive stock buyback program, suggests that the company is well-positioned to capitalize on its early-stage monetization potential.While Nextdoor's path to profitability may not be without its challenges, the company's unique positioning in the social media landscape and the renewed focus under Tolia's leadership make it a compelling investment opportunity for those willing to look beyond the more established players in the industry.

Navigating the Risks: Balancing Opportunity and Execution

It's important to note that both PayPal and Nextdoor are not without their risks. The success of these companies' turnaround efforts is contingent on effective execution by their respective management teams. As the article states, the key word in both cases is "if" – if new management can figure out how to return PayPal to growth, and if Nextdoor can deliver on its profitable growth trajectory.Investors should expect a certain degree of volatility in the coming years, even if these companies are performing well. The execution risk inherent in these situations means that there are no guarantees of success. However, from a risk-reward perspective, both PayPal and Nextdoor appear to be compelling opportunities, trading at valuations that may not fully reflect their long-term potential.By taking the time to look beyond the headlines and the hype, investors can uncover hidden gems like these that have the potential to deliver outsized returns. While these investments may not be without their risks, the potential rewards for those willing to do their due diligence and take a long-term view could be substantial.