10 things to watch in the stock market Wednesday, including automaker downgrades

Sep 25, 2024 at 1:15 PM

Navigating the Shifting Tides: A Comprehensive Market Outlook

In the ever-evolving landscape of the financial markets, investors and industry professionals alike are closely monitoring the latest developments and trends. This comprehensive market outlook delves into the key factors shaping the current market dynamics, offering insights and analysis to help navigate the shifting tides.

Unlocking the Potential: A Detailed Market Snapshot

Muted Open, Overbought Oscillator, and Chipmaker Earnings

The S&P 500 is poised for a muted open on Wednesday, following another record close the previous day. While Nvidia, a holding in the Investing Club's portfolio, helped lift the market on Tuesday, the focus now shifts to the upcoming earnings report from fellow chipmaker Micron. Notably, the S&P Short Range Oscillator, a trusted momentum indicator, remains in a very overbought territory, signaling potential market volatility ahead.

Downgraded Auto Industry and Shifting Dynamics

Morgan Stanley's renowned auto analyst, Adam Jonas, has downgraded his view on the U.S. auto industry from "attractive" to "in line." This move reflects a range of factors, including the growing presence of Chinese competitors and concerns over vehicle affordability in the domestic market. The Investing Club had previously sold out of its position in Ford earlier this year, anticipating these industry-wide challenges.

Tyson Foods: Margin Pressures and Supply Shifts

Tyson Foods, a major player in the food industry, has been downgraded to a sell-equivalent underweight by Piper Sander. This decision is driven by worsening beef margins and a rising chicken supply, which have put pressure on the company's financial performance. Shares of Tyson Foods have declined by more than 4% over the past month, reflecting the market's concerns.

Delivery Platforms: Upgraded Outlooks and Earnings Potential

In the rapidly evolving food delivery landscape, KeyBanc has upgraded DoorDash to an overweight buy, citing increased confidence in the platform's ability to sustain gross order volume growth and demonstrate operating leverage. Additionally, the firm has raised its price target on Uber, believing that the company's cost discipline can further boost its earnings potential.

Oilfield Services: Diversification and Macro Outlook

Wells Fargo has upgraded oilfield services provider Baker Hughes to an overweight rating, citing the company's diversified business model. However, the firm has lowered its price targets on peers Halliburton and SLB, reflecting a more muted macroeconomic outlook. Despite a recent lift on the back of China's stimulus news, oil prices have been trending lower since the spring, adding to the industry's challenges.

Retail Sector: Bearish Bets and Turnaround Efforts

Baird analysts have added Foot Locker to their "Bearish Fresh Pick Trading Call" list through November, indicating a negative outlook on the stock over that period. The analysts cite signs of softer spending trends and lower near-term sales visibility, which could impact the retailer's performance. However, CNBC's Gabrielle Fonrouge has previously reported on Foot Locker's ongoing turnaround efforts, highlighting the company's strategic initiatives to adapt to the changing retail landscape.

Technology Sector: Upgrades, Acquisitions, and Antitrust Concerns

In the technology sector, Hewlett Packard Enterprise has been upgraded to an overweight rating by Barclays, citing growth in AI server revenues, improvements in storage, and the accretive impact of the Juniper Networks acquisition. Meanwhile, Oppenheimer has cut its price target on Alphabet, the parent company of Google, due to uncertainty surrounding the Department of Justice's antitrust pursuits against the tech giant's search and advertising businesses.

Travel and Hospitality: Downgraded Outlooks and Shifting Dynamics

The travel and hospitality industry has also seen some notable changes. Expedia has been downgraded to a hold rating by Cowen, as analysts cite a slower turnaround in the company's business-to-consumer operations, including its vacation rental platform Vrbo and Hotels.com. These brands have been losing market share, according to the analysts' assessment.

Railroad Sector: Valuation Concerns and Earnings Outlook

Evercore ISI has downgraded Union Pacific to an in-line rating, citing the railroad stock's current valuation and its medium-term earnings outlook. The analysts believe the stock is fully valued at around $249 per share, suggesting limited upside potential in the near term.